Current forecasts for Shanghai indicate minimum temperatures around 27–29°C on August 5, driven by typical early-August subtropical conditions with high humidity, limited nocturnal cooling, and possible thundershowers or cloud cover that trap heat. Official model guidance and climatological baselines show average lows near 25–26°C early in the month, but recent warm anomalies and urban heat effects support elevated readings. Trader consensus centers on 28°C as the mode, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns without incoming cooler air masses or significant rain that could drop overnight temperatures. Updated short-range model runs and regional monitoring will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の上海の最低気温は?
28℃ 38%
29℃ 32%
27°C 16%
26°C 13%
22℃以下
1%
23℃
11%
24℃
12%
25℃
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
16%
28℃
38%
29℃
32%
30°C
10%
31°C
1%
32°C以上
1%
28℃ 38%
29℃ 32%
27°C 16%
26°C 13%
22℃以下
1%
23℃
11%
24℃
12%
25℃
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
16%
28℃
38%
29℃
32%
30°C
10%
31°C
1%
32°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Shanghai indicate minimum temperatures around 27–29°C on August 5, driven by typical early-August subtropical conditions with high humidity, limited nocturnal cooling, and possible thundershowers or cloud cover that trap heat. Official model guidance and climatological baselines show average lows near 25–26°C early in the month, but recent warm anomalies and urban heat effects support elevated readings. Trader consensus centers on 28°C as the mode, reflecting stable atmospheric patterns without incoming cooler air masses or significant rain that could drop overnight temperatures. Updated short-range model runs and regional monitoring will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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