Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 5 indicate highs likely between 31–34°C amid typical early-August monsoon conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity and topographic trapping sustain elevated temperatures unless moderated by cloud cover or showers. Model consensus points to partly cloudy skies with scattered convective thunderstorms that could cap peak heating through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing for stronger insolation, creating the tight spread among leading outcomes near 33–35°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies highlights ongoing uncertainty in exact maximums due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, with historical August averages around 30–32°C providing baseline context for trader assessment of any late forecast shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の成都の最高気温は?
34°C 31%
35°C or higher 28%
33°C 23%
32°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
12%
32°C
13%
33°C
23%
34°C
31%
35°C or higher
28%
34°C 31%
35°C or higher 28%
33°C 23%
32°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
12%
32°C
13%
33°C
23%
34°C
31%
35°C or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 5 indicate highs likely between 31–34°C amid typical early-August monsoon conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity and topographic trapping sustain elevated temperatures unless moderated by cloud cover or showers. Model consensus points to partly cloudy skies with scattered convective thunderstorms that could cap peak heating through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing for stronger insolation, creating the tight spread among leading outcomes near 33–35°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies highlights ongoing uncertainty in exact maximums due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, with historical August averages around 30–32°C providing baseline context for trader assessment of any late forecast shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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