Recent forecast model consensus from the German Weather Service and ECMWF positions 33–34°C as the most likely maximum for Munich on August 5, driven by surface high pressure promoting clear skies and strong daytime solar heating under light easterly flow. These conditions align with climatological summer peaks while avoiding significant cloud cover or frontal cooling that could suppress temperatures. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of model runs, with 33°C leading at 37% amid minor spread to 32°C and 35°C outcomes. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the short-term forecast window narrows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
33°C 37%
32°C 30%
34°C 21%
35°C 14%
30°C or below
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
19%
33°C
37%
34°C
28%
35°C
14%
36°C
2%
37°C
9%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 37%
32°C 30%
34°C 21%
35°C 14%
30°C or below
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
19%
33°C
37%
34°C
28%
35°C
14%
36°C
2%
37°C
9%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model consensus from the German Weather Service and ECMWF positions 33–34°C as the most likely maximum for Munich on August 5, driven by surface high pressure promoting clear skies and strong daytime solar heating under light easterly flow. These conditions align with climatological summer peaks while avoiding significant cloud cover or frontal cooling that could suppress temperatures. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of model runs, with 33°C leading at 37% amid minor spread to 32°C and 35°C outcomes. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the short-term forecast window narrows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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