**Recent developments point to an early-August heatwave elevating temperatures across Türkiye, with Istanbul facing above-average warmth and high humidity that supports the market's clustering around 28–30°C.** Official forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate seasonal norms near 28°C for daily highs, but persistent high-pressure patterns and a broader European heat dome are driving modest positive anomalies of 1–3°C through the first week. Model consensus shows limited variability in the short term, with minimal precipitation expected to allow full daytime heating under clear to partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology places August maxima around 27–29°C, so traders appear to price in the current synoptic setup without anticipating extremes or rapid cooling. Updated ensemble runs and any NHC-analog steering influences could refine probabilities ahead of the August 7 observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
8月7日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
28℃ 42%
29°C 29%
30°C 16%
27℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
24°C以下
1%
25°C
1%
26℃
3%
27℃
15%
28℃
42%
29°C
29%
30°C
16%
31℃
2%
32℃
2%
33℃
3%
34℃以上
2%
28℃ 42%
29°C 29%
30°C 16%
27℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
24°C以下
$55 Vol.
1%
25°C
$40 Vol.
1%
26℃
$187 Vol.
3%
27℃
$33 Vol.
15%
28℃
$159 Vol.
42%
29°C
$97 Vol.
29%
30°C
$61 Vol.
16%
31℃
$28 Vol.
2%
32℃
$12 Vol.
2%
33℃
$9 Vol.
3%
34℃以上
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent developments point to an early-August heatwave elevating temperatures across Türkiye, with Istanbul facing above-average warmth and high humidity that supports the market's clustering around 28–30°C.** Official forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate seasonal norms near 28°C for daily highs, but persistent high-pressure patterns and a broader European heat dome are driving modest positive anomalies of 1–3°C through the first week. Model consensus shows limited variability in the short term, with minimal precipitation expected to allow full daytime heating under clear to partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology places August maxima around 27–29°C, so traders appear to price in the current synoptic setup without anticipating extremes or rapid cooling. Updated ensemble runs and any NHC-analog steering influences could refine probabilities ahead of the August 7 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$692終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent developments point to an early-August heatwave elevating temperatures across Türkiye, with Istanbul facing above-average warmth and high humidity that supports the market's clustering around 28–30°C.** Official forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate seasonal norms near 28°C for daily highs, but persistent high-pressure patterns and a broader European heat dome are driving modest positive anomalies of 1–3°C through the first week. Model consensus shows limited variability in the short term, with minimal precipitation expected to allow full daytime heating under clear to partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology places August maxima around 27–29°C, so traders appear to price in the current synoptic setup without anticipating extremes or rapid cooling. Updated ensemble runs and any NHC-analog steering influences could refine probabilities ahead of the August 7 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$692終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent developments point to an early-August heatwave elevating temperatures across Türkiye, with Istanbul facing above-average warmth and high humidity that supports the market's clustering around 28–30°C.** Official forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate seasonal norms near 28°C for daily highs, but persistent high-pressure patterns and a broader European heat dome are driving modest positive anomalies of 1–3°C through the first week. Model consensus shows limited variability in the short term, with minimal precipitation expected to allow full daytime heating under clear to partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology places August maxima around 27–29°C, so traders appear to price in the current synoptic setup without anticipating extremes or rapid cooling. Updated ensemble runs and any NHC-analog steering influences could refine probabilities ahead of the August 7 observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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