Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a maximum temperature of 34°C for Taipei on August 7, with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs supporting a narrow range of 33–35°C amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent high pressure and light winds favor strong diurnal heating, while afternoon thundershowers or increased cloud cover could cap the peak below 35°C; conversely, clearer skies or urban heat-island effects might push readings to 36°C. Historical August baselines near 32–34°C provide context, yet short-term variability in steering patterns and moisture leaves the tightly bunched market odds (centered on 34–35°C) reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日の台北の最高気温は?
35°C 30%
34°C 29%
33°C 19%
36°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C
19%
34°C
29%
35°C
30%
36°C
12%
37℃以上
4%
35°C 30%
34°C 29%
33°C 19%
36°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C
19%
34°C
29%
35°C
30%
36°C
12%
37℃以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a maximum temperature of 34°C for Taipei on August 7, with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs supporting a narrow range of 33–35°C amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent high pressure and light winds favor strong diurnal heating, while afternoon thundershowers or increased cloud cover could cap the peak below 35°C; conversely, clearer skies or urban heat-island effects might push readings to 36°C. Historical August baselines near 32–34°C provide context, yet short-term variability in steering patterns and moisture leaves the tightly bunched market odds (centered on 34–35°C) reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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