Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei indicate daytime highs of 32–34°C on August 7, aligning with typical August climatology of 32–34°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Trader consensus clusters on 34–35°C because subtle differences in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C; stronger monsoon flow or earlier thunderstorms would cap readings near 33°C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation support 35–36°C. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, sustaining the tight market probabilities around these thresholds until updated guidance narrows the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日の台北の最高気温は?
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
33°C 17%
36°C 14%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
17%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
14%
37℃以上
4%
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
33°C 17%
36°C 14%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
17%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
14%
37℃以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei indicate daytime highs of 32–34°C on August 7, aligning with typical August climatology of 32–34°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Trader consensus clusters on 34–35°C because subtle differences in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C; stronger monsoon flow or earlier thunderstorms would cap readings near 33°C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation support 35–36°C. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, sustaining the tight market probabilities around these thresholds until updated guidance narrows the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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