Singapore’s equatorial climate typically delivers August daytime highs near 31°C, but the National Environment Agency’s late-July outlook for drier-than-average conditions across the first fortnight of August 2026 has raised the expected daily maximum range to 33–34 °C on most days. This seasonal signal, reinforced by reduced cloud cover and lighter winds that limit evaporative cooling, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C and 33 °C. Short-range numerical weather models for 7 August currently cluster around these values, with only modest spread arising from uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and any localized sea-breeze effects. Historical August extremes above 34 °C remain rare, keeping tail probabilities low while the consensus of real-money traders reflects the latest official guidance favoring the upper end of the normal range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
33°C 53%
32°C 40%
31°C 6%
34°C 3%
$23,503 Vol.
$23,503 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
6%
32°C
40%
33°C
53%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
32°C 40%
31°C 6%
34°C 3%
$23,503 Vol.
$23,503 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
6%
32°C
40%
33°C
53%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Singapore’s equatorial climate typically delivers August daytime highs near 31°C, but the National Environment Agency’s late-July outlook for drier-than-average conditions across the first fortnight of August 2026 has raised the expected daily maximum range to 33–34 °C on most days. This seasonal signal, reinforced by reduced cloud cover and lighter winds that limit evaporative cooling, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C and 33 °C. Short-range numerical weather models for 7 August currently cluster around these values, with only modest spread arising from uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and any localized sea-breeze effects. Historical August extremes above 34 °C remain rare, keeping tail probabilities low while the consensus of real-money traders reflects the latest official guidance favoring the upper end of the normal range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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