Recent short-term forecast models from agencies including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international sources indicate a high near 29°C for September 21 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 3–5 m/s and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with observed conditions on September 20 near 29–30°C and typical late-September patterns in Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate, where highs average around 27°C. Stable high pressure and absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences support limited day-to-day variability, positioning 29°C as the market consensus while leaving modest room for 28°C if afternoon mixing or cloud cover increases slightly. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日の上海の最高気温は？
9月21日の上海の最高気温は？
29℃ 54%
28℃ 35%
30℃ 5%
27°C 5%
新規
$15,805 Vol.
新規
$15,805 Vol.
2026/09/21
26℃以下
1%
27°C
5%
28℃
35%
29℃
54%
30℃
5%
31℃
2%
32℃
1%
33℃
<1%
34°C
<1%
35℃
<1%
36℃以上
<1%
29℃ 54%
28℃ 35%
30℃ 5%
27°C 5%
新規
$15,805 Vol.
新規
$15,805 Vol.
2026/09/21
26℃以下
$1,045 Vol.
1%
27°C
$2,384 Vol.
5%
28℃
$3,370 Vol.
35%
29℃
$4,472 Vol.
54%
30℃
$1,105 Vol.
5%
31℃
$885 Vol.
2%
32℃
$1,423 Vol.
1%
33℃
$348 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
35℃
$291 Vol.
<1%
36℃以上
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast models from agencies including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international sources indicate a high near 29°C for September 21 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 3–5 m/s and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with observed conditions on September 20 near 29–30°C and typical late-September patterns in Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate, where highs average around 27°C. Stable high pressure and absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences support limited day-to-day variability, positioning 29°C as the market consensus while leaving modest room for 28°C if afternoon mixing or cloud cover increases slightly. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$15,805終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast models from agencies including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international sources indicate a high near 29°C for September 21 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 3–5 m/s and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with observed conditions on September 20 near 29–30°C and typical late-September patterns in Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate, where highs average around 27°C. Stable high pressure and absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences support limited day-to-day variability, positioning 29°C as the market consensus while leaving modest room for 28°C if afternoon mixing or cloud cover increases slightly. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$15,805終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent short-term forecast models from agencies including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international sources indicate a high near 29°C for September 21 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 3–5 m/s and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with observed conditions on September 20 near 29–30°C and typical late-September patterns in Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate, where highs average around 27°C. Stable high pressure and absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences support limited day-to-day variability, positioning 29°C as the market consensus while leaving modest room for 28°C if afternoon mixing or cloud cover increases slightly. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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