Persistent rain and cloud cover from the approaching Typhoon Dujuan are suppressing daytime heating in the Tokyo area, keeping the highest temperature on September 20 well below the late-September climatological average of roughly 26–27°C. Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 23–25°C amid near-continuous precipitation and northerly flow, with several runs showing 24°C as the most likely peak. This pattern follows several days of similar unsettled conditions that have already limited warming, and the typhoon’s outer bands are expected to maintain high humidity and reduced solar insolation through the day. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities closely tracks this model agreement, with the 24°C outcome carrying the highest implied probability while still allowing for modest forecast shifts that could favor 23°C or 25°C depending on exact rain timing and wind strength.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日の東京の最高気温は？
9月20日の東京の最高気温は？
24℃ 41%
23℃ 28%
25℃ 20%
22°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
19℃以下
<1%
20℃
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23℃
28%
24℃
41%
25℃
20%
26℃
5%
27℃
1%
28℃
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
24℃ 41%
23℃ 28%
25℃ 20%
22°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
19℃以下
$540 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$404 Vol.
1%
21°C
$588 Vol.
2%
22°C
$446 Vol.
5%
23℃
$3,248 Vol.
28%
24℃
$1,126 Vol.
41%
25℃
$673 Vol.
20%
26℃
$569 Vol.
5%
27℃
$151 Vol.
1%
28℃
$167 Vol.
<1%
29℃以上
$126 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover from the approaching Typhoon Dujuan are suppressing daytime heating in the Tokyo area, keeping the highest temperature on September 20 well below the late-September climatological average of roughly 26–27°C. Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 23–25°C amid near-continuous precipitation and northerly flow, with several runs showing 24°C as the most likely peak. This pattern follows several days of similar unsettled conditions that have already limited warming, and the typhoon’s outer bands are expected to maintain high humidity and reduced solar insolation through the day. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities closely tracks this model agreement, with the 24°C outcome carrying the highest implied probability while still allowing for modest forecast shifts that could favor 23°C or 25°C depending on exact rain timing and wind strength.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$8,038終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover from the approaching Typhoon Dujuan are suppressing daytime heating in the Tokyo area, keeping the highest temperature on September 20 well below the late-September climatological average of roughly 26–27°C. Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 23–25°C amid near-continuous precipitation and northerly flow, with several runs showing 24°C as the most likely peak. This pattern follows several days of similar unsettled conditions that have already limited warming, and the typhoon’s outer bands are expected to maintain high humidity and reduced solar insolation through the day. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities closely tracks this model agreement, with the 24°C outcome carrying the highest implied probability while still allowing for modest forecast shifts that could favor 23°C or 25°C depending on exact rain timing and wind strength.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,038終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETPersistent rain and cloud cover from the approaching Typhoon Dujuan are suppressing daytime heating in the Tokyo area, keeping the highest temperature on September 20 well below the late-September climatological average of roughly 26–27°C. Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models converge on a daily maximum of 23–25°C amid near-continuous precipitation and northerly flow, with several runs showing 24°C as the most likely peak. This pattern follows several days of similar unsettled conditions that have already limited warming, and the typhoon’s outer bands are expected to maintain high humidity and reduced solar insolation through the day. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities closely tracks this model agreement, with the 24°C outcome carrying the highest implied probability while still allowing for modest forecast shifts that could favor 23°C or 25°C depending on exact rain timing and wind strength.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問