**Stable northeast monsoon flow combined with a strengthening high-pressure ridge over southern China is sustaining clear, dry, and hot conditions across Hong Kong, positioning 32 °C as the leading outcome for the September 19 maximum.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance issued September 17 projects a 32 °C high under sunny skies with low rain probability and moderate easterly winds, consistent with the past several days’ pattern. Ensemble forecasts cluster between 31–33 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in daytime heating under the prevailing anticyclonic regime; September climatology (around 30 °C average high) supports elevated readings during this dry spell. The market’s emphasis on 32 °C aligns with the consensus while assigning secondary weight to 31 °C or 33 °C if boundary-layer mixing or insolation varies slightly. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日の香港の最高気温は?
32℃ 38%
31℃ 22%
33℃ 21%
30℃ 10%
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
1%
29℃
3%
30℃
10%
31℃
22%
32℃
38%
33℃
21%
34℃
9%
35℃
2%
36℃以上
<1%
32℃ 38%
31℃ 22%
33℃ 21%
30℃ 10%
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
1%
29℃
3%
30℃
10%
31℃
22%
32℃
38%
33℃
21%
34℃
9%
35℃
2%
36℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Stable northeast monsoon flow combined with a strengthening high-pressure ridge over southern China is sustaining clear, dry, and hot conditions across Hong Kong, positioning 32 °C as the leading outcome for the September 19 maximum.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance issued September 17 projects a 32 °C high under sunny skies with low rain probability and moderate easterly winds, consistent with the past several days’ pattern. Ensemble forecasts cluster between 31–33 °C, reflecting modest uncertainty in daytime heating under the prevailing anticyclonic regime; September climatology (around 30 °C average high) supports elevated readings during this dry spell. The market’s emphasis on 32 °C aligns with the consensus while assigning secondary weight to 31 °C or 33 °C if boundary-layer mixing or insolation varies slightly. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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