Latest MetService forecasts project a daytime maximum of 15°C in Wellington on September 17 amid occasional rain and a northerly-to-southerly wind shift, placing the outcome slightly above the typical September high of 12.5°C. This aligns with the market's leading 15°C (50.5%) and 14°C (32.5%) implied probabilities, driven by model consensus on modest warming from northerly flow ahead of a cold front. El Niño-enhanced spring variability introduces uncertainty in exact peaks, though official guidance shows limited upside risk beyond 16°C given expected cloud cover and precipitation. Resolution hinges on verified observations from central Wellington stations, with any final forecast adjustments likely to reinforce the tight clustering around 14–15°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
9月17日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
15°C 50%
14°C 33%
13°C 8%
16℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
9°C以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11℃
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
8%
14°C
33%
15°C
50%
16℃
7%
17℃
2%
18℃
1%
19°C以上
<1%
15°C 50%
14°C 33%
13°C 8%
16℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
9°C以下
$261 Vol.
<1%
10℃
$184 Vol.
<1%
11℃
$261 Vol.
1%
12°C
$99 Vol.
2%
13°C
$596 Vol.
8%
14°C
$5,786 Vol.
33%
15°C
$1,181 Vol.
50%
16℃
$553 Vol.
7%
17℃
$200 Vol.
2%
18℃
$240 Vol.
1%
19°C以上
$399 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService forecasts project a daytime maximum of 15°C in Wellington on September 17 amid occasional rain and a northerly-to-southerly wind shift, placing the outcome slightly above the typical September high of 12.5°C. This aligns with the market's leading 15°C (50.5%) and 14°C (32.5%) implied probabilities, driven by model consensus on modest warming from northerly flow ahead of a cold front. El Niño-enhanced spring variability introduces uncertainty in exact peaks, though official guidance shows limited upside risk beyond 16°C given expected cloud cover and precipitation. Resolution hinges on verified observations from central Wellington stations, with any final forecast adjustments likely to reinforce the tight clustering around 14–15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$9,760終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService forecasts project a daytime maximum of 15°C in Wellington on September 17 amid occasional rain and a northerly-to-southerly wind shift, placing the outcome slightly above the typical September high of 12.5°C. This aligns with the market's leading 15°C (50.5%) and 14°C (32.5%) implied probabilities, driven by model consensus on modest warming from northerly flow ahead of a cold front. El Niño-enhanced spring variability introduces uncertainty in exact peaks, though official guidance shows limited upside risk beyond 16°C given expected cloud cover and precipitation. Resolution hinges on verified observations from central Wellington stations, with any final forecast adjustments likely to reinforce the tight clustering around 14–15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$9,760終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest MetService forecasts project a daytime maximum of 15°C in Wellington on September 17 amid occasional rain and a northerly-to-southerly wind shift, placing the outcome slightly above the typical September high of 12.5°C. This aligns with the market's leading 15°C (50.5%) and 14°C (32.5%) implied probabilities, driven by model consensus on modest warming from northerly flow ahead of a cold front. El Niño-enhanced spring variability introduces uncertainty in exact peaks, though official guidance shows limited upside risk beyond 16°C given expected cloud cover and precipitation. Resolution hinges on verified observations from central Wellington stations, with any final forecast adjustments likely to reinforce the tight clustering around 14–15°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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