Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and northerly flow that favors afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers. These conditions typically limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping highs near the September climatological average rather than allowing stronger warming. Model runs show variability in precipitation timing, with heavier rain potentially suppressing the peak below 23°C or lighter activity permitting a brief reach to 25°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of these scenarios, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under current atmospheric guidance. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
9月17日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
24℃ 39%
25℃以上 32%
23℃ 18%
22°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
15℃以下
<1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
2%
22°C
5%
23℃
18%
24℃
39%
25℃以上
32%
24℃ 39%
25℃以上 32%
23℃ 18%
22°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
15℃以下
$31 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$31 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$31 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$31 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$53 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$359 Vol.
2%
22°C
$374 Vol.
5%
23℃
$1,998 Vol.
18%
24℃
$693 Vol.
39%
25℃以上
$2,155 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and northerly flow that favors afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers. These conditions typically limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping highs near the September climatological average rather than allowing stronger warming. Model runs show variability in precipitation timing, with heavier rain potentially suppressing the peak below 23°C or lighter activity permitting a brief reach to 25°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of these scenarios, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under current atmospheric guidance. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
音量
$5,809終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and northerly flow that favors afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers. These conditions typically limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping highs near the September climatological average rather than allowing stronger warming. Model runs show variability in precipitation timing, with heavier rain potentially suppressing the peak below 23°C or lighter activity permitting a brief reach to 25°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of these scenarios, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under current atmospheric guidance. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,809終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and northerly flow that favors afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers. These conditions typically limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping highs near the September climatological average rather than allowing stronger warming. Model runs show variability in precipitation timing, with heavier rain potentially suppressing the peak below 23°C or lighter activity permitting a brief reach to 25°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of these scenarios, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under current atmospheric guidance. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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