Forecast consensus from multiple models positions Shanghai's September 16 high near 28–29°C under stable high pressure, northeast winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 27–28°C before the seasonal decline accelerates. Current conditions on the 15th, featuring highs near 29°C and light winds, support persistence of similar thermal regimes without disruptive fronts or moisture influx. Trader emphasis on 28°C (60.5%) and 29°C (29%) reflects tight model agreement and low uncertainty for the 24-hour outlook, with only modest upside potential if insolation strengthens. Resolution hinges on official station readings at the end of the calendar day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日の上海の最高気温は？
9月16日の上海の最高気温は？
28℃ 62%
29℃ 29%
27℃ 8%
30℃ 2%
新規
$22,941 Vol.
新規
$22,941 Vol.
2026/09/16
23℃以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
1%
27℃
8%
28℃
62%
29℃
29%
30℃
2%
31°C
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
28℃ 62%
29℃ 29%
27℃ 8%
30℃ 2%
新規
$22,941 Vol.
新規
$22,941 Vol.
2026/09/16
23℃以下
$679 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$563 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$1,357 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$2,018 Vol.
1%
27℃
$5,353 Vol.
8%
28℃
$5,345 Vol.
62%
29℃
$3,021 Vol.
29%
30℃
$1,689 Vol.
2%
31°C
$1,106 Vol.
<1%
32℃
$1,008 Vol.
<1%
33℃以上
$804 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models positions Shanghai's September 16 high near 28–29°C under stable high pressure, northeast winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 27–28°C before the seasonal decline accelerates. Current conditions on the 15th, featuring highs near 29°C and light winds, support persistence of similar thermal regimes without disruptive fronts or moisture influx. Trader emphasis on 28°C (60.5%) and 29°C (29%) reflects tight model agreement and low uncertainty for the 24-hour outlook, with only modest upside potential if insolation strengthens. Resolution hinges on official station readings at the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$22,941終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models positions Shanghai's September 16 high near 28–29°C under stable high pressure, northeast winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 27–28°C before the seasonal decline accelerates. Current conditions on the 15th, featuring highs near 29°C and light winds, support persistence of similar thermal regimes without disruptive fronts or moisture influx. Trader emphasis on 28°C (60.5%) and 29°C (29%) reflects tight model agreement and low uncertainty for the 24-hour outlook, with only modest upside potential if insolation strengthens. Resolution hinges on official station readings at the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$22,941終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast consensus from multiple models positions Shanghai's September 16 high near 28–29°C under stable high pressure, northeast winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 27–28°C before the seasonal decline accelerates. Current conditions on the 15th, featuring highs near 29°C and light winds, support persistence of similar thermal regimes without disruptive fronts or moisture influx. Trader emphasis on 28°C (60.5%) and 29°C (29%) reflects tight model agreement and low uncertainty for the 24-hour outlook, with only modest upside potential if insolation strengthens. Resolution hinges on official station readings at the end of the calendar day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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