Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 25°C for Incheon on September 15 under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds, supporting the market's 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal cooling from summer peaks, combined with stable high pressure and low humidity around 45-50%, limits warming potential while preventing sharp drops below 24°C. Historical September averages near 24-26°C provide context, and the narrow spread across 24-26°C options reflects model consensus with minimal divergence. Updated runs expected in the next 24-48 hours could refine steering patterns or cloud cover before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のソウル(仁川)の最高気温は?
25℃ 52%
26℃ 26%
24℃ 17%
27℃ 5%
19°C以下
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
1%
22℃
1%
23℃
4%
24℃
17%
25℃
52%
26℃
26%
27℃
5%
28°C
3%
29℃以上
1%
25℃ 52%
26℃ 26%
24℃ 17%
27℃ 5%
19°C以下
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
1%
22℃
1%
23℃
4%
24℃
17%
25℃
52%
26℃
26%
27℃
5%
28°C
3%
29℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 25°C for Incheon on September 15 under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds, supporting the market's 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal cooling from summer peaks, combined with stable high pressure and low humidity around 45-50%, limits warming potential while preventing sharp drops below 24°C. Historical September averages near 24-26°C provide context, and the narrow spread across 24-26°C options reflects model consensus with minimal divergence. Updated runs expected in the next 24-48 hours could refine steering patterns or cloud cover before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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