Traders have converged on 31°C as the day's maximum temperature in Hong Kong, reflecting real-time observational data and model consensus from sources such as the Hong Kong Observatory and global numerical weather prediction outputs. Afternoon readings near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with easterly flow and moderate humidity align with this outcome, while recent model runs show limited potential for further warming or cooling. This market-implied odds capture the aggregated assessment of surface observations and steering patterns typical for mid-September in the region. A shift could occur only if unforecast convective activity or measurement revisions at official stations alter the recorded peak, though current conditions make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日の香港の最高気温は?
31℃ 99.8%
29℃ <1%
32℃ <1%
25℃以下 <1%
$105,093 Vol.
$105,093 Vol.
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
100%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34°C
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
31℃ 99.8%
29℃ <1%
32℃ <1%
25℃以下 <1%
$105,093 Vol.
$105,093 Vol.
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
100%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34°C
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 31°C as the day's maximum temperature in Hong Kong, reflecting real-time observational data and model consensus from sources such as the Hong Kong Observatory and global numerical weather prediction outputs. Afternoon readings near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with easterly flow and moderate humidity align with this outcome, while recent model runs show limited potential for further warming or cooling. This market-implied odds capture the aggregated assessment of surface observations and steering patterns typical for mid-September in the region. A shift could occur only if unforecast convective activity or measurement revisions at official stations alter the recorded peak, though current conditions make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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