Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain outcome for Hong Kong’s highest temperature on September 12, 2026, because official Hong Kong Observatory readings and multiple forecast models consistently show daytime maxima reaching or slightly exceeding that threshold at key stations, consistent with above-normal late-summer conditions under ongoing El Niño influence. Recent observational data from stations such as Chek Lap Kok and Yuen Long recorded peaks near or at 34°C while the reference network points to a daily high of 33°C, aligning with climatological expectations for September when very hot days (≥33°C) occur several times per season. The market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus backed by real-time surface observations and model agreement on limited cooling from easterly flow and scattered showers. Only an unexpected late-day surge above 34°C or a revision in the official reporting station’s maximum could realistically alter the result, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の香港の最高気温は？
9月12日の香港の最高気温は？
33℃ 99.8%
25℃以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$129,688 Vol.
$129,688 Vol.
2026/09/12
25℃以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
100%
34℃
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
33℃ 99.8%
25℃以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$129,688 Vol.
$129,688 Vol.
2026/09/12
25℃以下
$374 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$608 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$4,821 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$7,702 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,233 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$36,954 Vol.
<1%
32℃
$26,661 Vol.
<1%
33℃
$27,528 Vol.
100%
34℃
$7,215 Vol.
<1%
35℃以上
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain outcome for Hong Kong’s highest temperature on September 12, 2026, because official Hong Kong Observatory readings and multiple forecast models consistently show daytime maxima reaching or slightly exceeding that threshold at key stations, consistent with above-normal late-summer conditions under ongoing El Niño influence. Recent observational data from stations such as Chek Lap Kok and Yuen Long recorded peaks near or at 34°C while the reference network points to a daily high of 33°C, aligning with climatological expectations for September when very hot days (≥33°C) occur several times per season. The market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus backed by real-time surface observations and model agreement on limited cooling from easterly flow and scattered showers. Only an unexpected late-day surge above 34°C or a revision in the official reporting station’s maximum could realistically alter the result, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$129,688終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain outcome for Hong Kong’s highest temperature on September 12, 2026, because official Hong Kong Observatory readings and multiple forecast models consistently show daytime maxima reaching or slightly exceeding that threshold at key stations, consistent with above-normal late-summer conditions under ongoing El Niño influence. Recent observational data from stations such as Chek Lap Kok and Yuen Long recorded peaks near or at 34°C while the reference network points to a daily high of 33°C, aligning with climatological expectations for September when very hot days (≥33°C) occur several times per season. The market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus backed by real-time surface observations and model agreement on limited cooling from easterly flow and scattered showers. Only an unexpected late-day surge above 34°C or a revision in the official reporting station’s maximum could realistically alter the result, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$129,688終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain outcome for Hong Kong’s highest temperature on September 12, 2026, because official Hong Kong Observatory readings and multiple forecast models consistently show daytime maxima reaching or slightly exceeding that threshold at key stations, consistent with above-normal late-summer conditions under ongoing El Niño influence. Recent observational data from stations such as Chek Lap Kok and Yuen Long recorded peaks near or at 34°C while the reference network points to a daily high of 33°C, aligning with climatological expectations for September when very hot days (≥33°C) occur several times per season. The market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus backed by real-time surface observations and model agreement on limited cooling from easterly flow and scattered showers. Only an unexpected late-day surge above 34°C or a revision in the official reporting station’s maximum could realistically alter the result, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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