Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Paris today under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that allows strong daytime heating. This aligns with above-average conditions for mid-September, when the climatological high sits near 22°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on the daily maximum, with afternoon readings expected to reach the upper end of the range before cooling under clearing evening skies. Trader positioning at 61.5% for 25°C and 27.5% for 26°C reflects this consensus on official station data, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below capture residual uncertainty from any localized measurement variations or minor forecast adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のパリの最高気温は?
25℃ 63%
26℃ 23%
24°C 13%
23℃ 3%
$25,112 Vol.
$25,112 Vol.
20℃以下
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
3%
24°C
13%
25℃
63%
26℃
23%
27°C
2%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C以上
<1%
25℃ 63%
26℃ 23%
24°C 13%
23℃ 3%
$25,112 Vol.
$25,112 Vol.
20℃以下
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
3%
24°C
13%
25℃
63%
26℃
23%
27°C
2%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Paris today under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that allows strong daytime heating. This aligns with above-average conditions for mid-September, when the climatological high sits near 22°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on the daily maximum, with afternoon readings expected to reach the upper end of the range before cooling under clearing evening skies. Trader positioning at 61.5% for 25°C and 27.5% for 26°C reflects this consensus on official station data, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below capture residual uncertainty from any localized measurement variations or minor forecast adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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