Current meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 14 indicate a high near 26–28°C under clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure typical of early autumn transition, with minimal precipitation risk. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models shows consistency in this range, reflecting seasonal moderation from summer peaks without incoming frontal systems or significant moisture advection. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes aligns with this consensus and historical September baselines, while slight upward revisions in some runs support the modest probability for 29°C. Updated model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の北京の最高気温は?
28℃ 45%
27℃ 33%
29℃ 11%
26℃ 11%
21℃以下
1%
22℃
1%
23℃
1%
24℃
1%
25°C
4%
26℃
11%
27℃
33%
28℃
45%
29℃
11%
30℃
2%
31℃以上
3%
28℃ 45%
27℃ 33%
29℃ 11%
26℃ 11%
21℃以下
1%
22℃
1%
23℃
1%
24℃
1%
25°C
4%
26℃
11%
27℃
33%
28℃
45%
29℃
11%
30℃
2%
31℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 14 indicate a high near 26–28°C under clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure typical of early autumn transition, with minimal precipitation risk. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models shows consistency in this range, reflecting seasonal moderation from summer peaks without incoming frontal systems or significant moisture advection. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C outcomes aligns with this consensus and historical September baselines, while slight upward revisions in some runs support the modest probability for 29°C. Updated model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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