Recent National Weather Service and model guidance place Chicago’s September 12 high near 85 °F under mostly sunny skies and southwest flow, supporting the near-even market split between the 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F bins. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any lake-breeze or cloud-cover development, which can cap afternoon temperatures by 1–3 °F, and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point advection. With the date’s climatological average high near 78 °F, the current warm anomaly is driven by persistent southerly transport ahead of an approaching front; traders are weighing the latest hourly observations and short-range model runs that will determine whether the peak registers in the lower or upper half of the mid-80s range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のシカゴの最高気温は？
9月12日のシカゴの最高気温は？
84～85°F 51%
86～87°F 45%
82～83°F 2%
88〜89°F 2%
$24,924 Vol.
$24,924 Vol.
2026/09/12
華氏73度以下
<1%
74〜75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78～79°F
<1%
80〜81°F
<1%
82～83°F
2%
84～85°F
51%
86～87°F
45%
88〜89°F
2%
90～91°F
<1%
92°F以上
<1%
84～85°F 51%
86～87°F 45%
82～83°F 2%
88〜89°F 2%
$24,924 Vol.
$24,924 Vol.
2026/09/12
華氏73度以下
$508 Vol.
<1%
74〜75°F
$508 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$200 Vol.
<1%
78～79°F
$327 Vol.
<1%
80〜81°F
$1,488 Vol.
<1%
82～83°F
$3,554 Vol.
2%
84～85°F
$6,231 Vol.
51%
86～87°F
$6,457 Vol.
45%
88〜89°F
$2,550 Vol.
2%
90～91°F
$1,647 Vol.
<1%
92°F以上
$1,453 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance place Chicago’s September 12 high near 85 °F under mostly sunny skies and southwest flow, supporting the near-even market split between the 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F bins. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any lake-breeze or cloud-cover development, which can cap afternoon temperatures by 1–3 °F, and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point advection. With the date’s climatological average high near 78 °F, the current warm anomaly is driven by persistent southerly transport ahead of an approaching front; traders are weighing the latest hourly observations and short-range model runs that will determine whether the peak registers in the lower or upper half of the mid-80s range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
音量
$24,924終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance place Chicago’s September 12 high near 85 °F under mostly sunny skies and southwest flow, supporting the near-even market split between the 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F bins. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any lake-breeze or cloud-cover development, which can cap afternoon temperatures by 1–3 °F, and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point advection. With the date’s climatological average high near 78 °F, the current warm anomaly is driven by persistent southerly transport ahead of an approaching front; traders are weighing the latest hourly observations and short-range model runs that will determine whether the peak registers in the lower or upper half of the mid-80s range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$24,924終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance place Chicago’s September 12 high near 85 °F under mostly sunny skies and southwest flow, supporting the near-even market split between the 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F bins. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any lake-breeze or cloud-cover development, which can cap afternoon temperatures by 1–3 °F, and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point advection. With the date’s climatological average high near 78 °F, the current warm anomaly is driven by persistent southerly transport ahead of an approaching front; traders are weighing the latest hourly observations and short-range model runs that will determine whether the peak registers in the lower or upper half of the mid-80s range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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