**Current forecasts and real-time observations position 33–34°C as the most likely peak for Shenzhen on September 12.** Subtropical conditions in mid-September, with weakening summer monsoon flow and strengthening northeasterly winds, typically support daytime highs near the seasonal average of 31°C, yet recent model runs and surface observations show temperatures climbing into the low-to-mid 30s under partly cloudy skies. Scattered thunderstorms (30–50% chance) introduce cooling via cloud cover and precipitation, capping extreme outliers while still allowing brief peaks near 34°C before evening stabilization. Official station measurements will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes, with any late-day convective activity or clearer breaks serving as the final variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の深センの最高気温は?
34℃ 94%
35℃ 6.4%
36℃ <1%
27°C以下 <1%
$48,098 Vol.
$48,098 Vol.
27°C以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
94%
35℃
6%
36℃
1%
37℃以上
<1%
34℃ 94%
35℃ 6.4%
36℃ <1%
27°C以下 <1%
$48,098 Vol.
$48,098 Vol.
27°C以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
94%
35℃
6%
36℃
1%
37℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts and real-time observations position 33–34°C as the most likely peak for Shenzhen on September 12.** Subtropical conditions in mid-September, with weakening summer monsoon flow and strengthening northeasterly winds, typically support daytime highs near the seasonal average of 31°C, yet recent model runs and surface observations show temperatures climbing into the low-to-mid 30s under partly cloudy skies. Scattered thunderstorms (30–50% chance) introduce cooling via cloud cover and precipitation, capping extreme outliers while still allowing brief peaks near 34°C before evening stabilization. Official station measurements will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes, with any late-day convective activity or clearer breaks serving as the final variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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