Trader consensus positions 39°C or higher as the leading outcome at 52% implied probability, consistent with Jeddah’s climatological September norms of 37–40°C daytime highs driven by intense solar heating over the Arabian Peninsula and limited cloud cover. Short-range global model guidance, such as ECMWF and GFS runs, shows persistent subtropical high pressure supporting above-average temperatures through mid-month, though Red Sea moisture and sea-breeze effects introduce modest cooling potential that keeps the distribution centered near 38–39°C. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles for any shift in thermal advection or humidity that could alter peak readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のジェッダの最高気温は？
9月14日のジェッダの最高気温は？
39°C以上 53%
38℃ 29%
37℃ 13%
36°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
29℃以下
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32℃
3%
33℃
4%
34°C
3%
35℃
3%
36°C
5%
37℃
13%
38℃
29%
39°C以上
53%
39°C以上 53%
38℃ 29%
37℃ 13%
36°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
29℃以下
$63 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$75 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
32℃
$0 Vol.
3%
33℃
$0 Vol.
4%
34°C
$0 Vol.
3%
35℃
$81 Vol.
3%
36°C
$50 Vol.
5%
37℃
$103 Vol.
13%
38℃
$283 Vol.
29%
39°C以上
$1,242 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus positions 39°C or higher as the leading outcome at 52% implied probability, consistent with Jeddah’s climatological September norms of 37–40°C daytime highs driven by intense solar heating over the Arabian Peninsula and limited cloud cover. Short-range global model guidance, such as ECMWF and GFS runs, shows persistent subtropical high pressure supporting above-average temperatures through mid-month, though Red Sea moisture and sea-breeze effects introduce modest cooling potential that keeps the distribution centered near 38–39°C. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles for any shift in thermal advection or humidity that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$1,942終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus positions 39°C or higher as the leading outcome at 52% implied probability, consistent with Jeddah’s climatological September norms of 37–40°C daytime highs driven by intense solar heating over the Arabian Peninsula and limited cloud cover. Short-range global model guidance, such as ECMWF and GFS runs, shows persistent subtropical high pressure supporting above-average temperatures through mid-month, though Red Sea moisture and sea-breeze effects introduce modest cooling potential that keeps the distribution centered near 38–39°C. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles for any shift in thermal advection or humidity that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,942終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETTrader consensus positions 39°C or higher as the leading outcome at 52% implied probability, consistent with Jeddah’s climatological September norms of 37–40°C daytime highs driven by intense solar heating over the Arabian Peninsula and limited cloud cover. Short-range global model guidance, such as ECMWF and GFS runs, shows persistent subtropical high pressure supporting above-average temperatures through mid-month, though Red Sea moisture and sea-breeze effects introduce modest cooling potential that keeps the distribution centered near 38–39°C. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles for any shift in thermal advection or humidity that could alter peak readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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