Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF drives trader sentiment toward 29–30°C as the leading implied probabilities for Qingdao’s September 14 high, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow that limit daytime heating along the coast. Current forecasts cluster between 26–30°C, consistent with September climatology of roughly 26°C average highs moderated by the Yellow Sea, with clear or mostly sunny skies and low humidity supporting modest warming. Minor model spread in peak temperature and timing of any cloud cover creates the tight 45.5%–31% split between 30°C and 29°C, while lower outcomes remain possible only if marine influence strengthens or forecasts trend cooler in upcoming runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の青島の最高気温は？
9月14日の青島の最高気温は？
30℃ 46%
29°C 31%
31℃ 14%
28°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
24℃以下
1%
25℃
2%
26℃
3%
27℃
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
31%
30℃
46%
31℃
14%
32℃
4%
33°C
6%
34℃以上
2%
30℃ 46%
29°C 31%
31℃ 14%
28°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
24℃以下
$205 Vol.
1%
25℃
$125 Vol.
2%
26℃
$0 Vol.
3%
27℃
$33 Vol.
5%
28°C
$11 Vol.
8%
29°C
$0 Vol.
31%
30℃
$55 Vol.
46%
31℃
$333 Vol.
14%
32℃
$0 Vol.
4%
33°C
$31 Vol.
6%
34℃以上
$20 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF drives trader sentiment toward 29–30°C as the leading implied probabilities for Qingdao’s September 14 high, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow that limit daytime heating along the coast. Current forecasts cluster between 26–30°C, consistent with September climatology of roughly 26°C average highs moderated by the Yellow Sea, with clear or mostly sunny skies and low humidity supporting modest warming. Minor model spread in peak temperature and timing of any cloud cover creates the tight 45.5%–31% split between 30°C and 29°C, while lower outcomes remain possible only if marine influence strengthens or forecasts trend cooler in upcoming runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
音量
$812終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF drives trader sentiment toward 29–30°C as the leading implied probabilities for Qingdao’s September 14 high, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow that limit daytime heating along the coast. Current forecasts cluster between 26–30°C, consistent with September climatology of roughly 26°C average highs moderated by the Yellow Sea, with clear or mostly sunny skies and low humidity supporting modest warming. Minor model spread in peak temperature and timing of any cloud cover creates the tight 45.5%–31% split between 30°C and 29°C, while lower outcomes remain possible only if marine influence strengthens or forecasts trend cooler in upcoming runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$812終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF drives trader sentiment toward 29–30°C as the leading implied probabilities for Qingdao’s September 14 high, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly flow that limit daytime heating along the coast. Current forecasts cluster between 26–30°C, consistent with September climatology of roughly 26°C average highs moderated by the Yellow Sea, with clear or mostly sunny skies and low humidity supporting modest warming. Minor model spread in peak temperature and timing of any cloud cover creates the tight 45.5%–31% split between 30°C and 29°C, while lower outcomes remain possible only if marine influence strengthens or forecasts trend cooler in upcoming runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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