Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate Qingdao's overnight low on September 14 will likely fall between 19–23 °C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, with radiative cooling limited by the city's coastal position and moderate humidity. The closely matched market odds—15 °C or below at 42.5 % versus 25 °C or higher at 37.5 %—reflect uncertainty in how quickly temperatures drop after sunset amid stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover. Historical September minima near 18 °C provide context, while model consensus on daytime highs near 26–28 °C supports expectations of typical diurnal ranges without strong frontal influences. Updated runs ahead of the 24-hour period could shift probabilities if wind speeds or moisture levels deviate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の青島の最低気温は?
25℃以上 68%
15℃以下 41%
21℃ 39%
20°C 38%
15℃以下
41%
16℃
21%
17℃
21%
18°C
26%
19℃
19%
20°C
38%
21℃
39%
22℃
5%
23℃
5%
24°C
5%
25℃以上
68%
25℃以上 68%
15℃以下 41%
21℃ 39%
20°C 38%
15℃以下
41%
16℃
21%
17℃
21%
18°C
26%
19℃
19%
20°C
38%
21℃
39%
22℃
5%
23℃
5%
24°C
5%
25℃以上
68%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate Qingdao's overnight low on September 14 will likely fall between 19–23 °C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, with radiative cooling limited by the city's coastal position and moderate humidity. The closely matched market odds—15 °C or below at 42.5 % versus 25 °C or higher at 37.5 %—reflect uncertainty in how quickly temperatures drop after sunset amid stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover. Historical September minima near 18 °C provide context, while model consensus on daytime highs near 26–28 °C supports expectations of typical diurnal ranges without strong frontal influences. Updated runs ahead of the 24-hour period could shift probabilities if wind speeds or moisture levels deviate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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