The market-implied odds strongly favor a 15°C maximum in Wellington on September 13, driven by MetService forecasts of a 16°C high under mainly fine conditions with a northerly flow shifting southerly. This aligns with model consensus showing mild spring temperatures several degrees above the long-term September average of roughly 13°C, supported by a ridge of high pressure and limited cloud cover. Seasonal El Niño influences contribute to variable but generally near-to-above-average conditions for the Wellington region. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slight cooling from the wind shift or minor model adjustments, keeping 14°C and 16°C as secondary outcomes with modest implied probabilities. Official observations from MetService will determine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
9月13日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
15°C 68%
14℃ 18%
16℃ 16%
17°C 3.2%
新規
$15,162 Vol.
新規
$15,162 Vol.
2026/09/13
10℃以下
<1%
11℃
<1%
12℃
<1%
13℃
2%
14℃
18%
15°C
68%
16℃
16%
17°C
3%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃以上
<1%
15°C 68%
14℃ 18%
16℃ 16%
17°C 3.2%
新規
$15,162 Vol.
新規
$15,162 Vol.
2026/09/13
10℃以下
$668 Vol.
<1%
11℃
$284 Vol.
<1%
12℃
$180 Vol.
<1%
13℃
$1,107 Vol.
2%
14℃
$2,856 Vol.
18%
15°C
$4,300 Vol.
68%
16℃
$4,171 Vol.
16%
17°C
$590 Vol.
3%
18℃
$48 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$746 Vol.
<1%
20℃以上
$213 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds strongly favor a 15°C maximum in Wellington on September 13, driven by MetService forecasts of a 16°C high under mainly fine conditions with a northerly flow shifting southerly. This aligns with model consensus showing mild spring temperatures several degrees above the long-term September average of roughly 13°C, supported by a ridge of high pressure and limited cloud cover. Seasonal El Niño influences contribute to variable but generally near-to-above-average conditions for the Wellington region. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slight cooling from the wind shift or minor model adjustments, keeping 14°C and 16°C as secondary outcomes with modest implied probabilities. Official observations from MetService will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$15,162終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds strongly favor a 15°C maximum in Wellington on September 13, driven by MetService forecasts of a 16°C high under mainly fine conditions with a northerly flow shifting southerly. This aligns with model consensus showing mild spring temperatures several degrees above the long-term September average of roughly 13°C, supported by a ridge of high pressure and limited cloud cover. Seasonal El Niño influences contribute to variable but generally near-to-above-average conditions for the Wellington region. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slight cooling from the wind shift or minor model adjustments, keeping 14°C and 16°C as secondary outcomes with modest implied probabilities. Official observations from MetService will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$15,162終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThe market-implied odds strongly favor a 15°C maximum in Wellington on September 13, driven by MetService forecasts of a 16°C high under mainly fine conditions with a northerly flow shifting southerly. This aligns with model consensus showing mild spring temperatures several degrees above the long-term September average of roughly 13°C, supported by a ridge of high pressure and limited cloud cover. Seasonal El Niño influences contribute to variable but generally near-to-above-average conditions for the Wellington region. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slight cooling from the wind shift or minor model adjustments, keeping 14°C and 16°C as secondary outcomes with modest implied probabilities. Official observations from MetService will determine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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