Trader consensus at 100% for a 28°C high in Beijing on September 12 reflects official surface observations and model consensus showing peak temperatures reached under clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity around 30% during afternoon hours. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 27.1°C for the date, driven by typical post-monsoon subsidence and minimal cloud cover that allowed efficient daytime heating without exceeding seasonal norms. Nearby station data and GFS/ECMWF guidance converged on this narrow range well before evening, leaving little room for upward revision. Only an unforeseen measurement discrepancy or localized urban heat island spike could shift the recorded maximum, though such adjustments remain statistically rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の北京の最高気温は？
9月12日の北京の最高気温は？
28℃ 100.0%
24℃以下 <1%
25℃ <1%
26°C <1%
$46,826 Vol.
$46,826 Vol.
2026/09/12
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
100%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
28℃ 100.0%
24℃以下 <1%
25℃ <1%
26°C <1%
$46,826 Vol.
$46,826 Vol.
2026/09/12
24℃以下
$115 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$630 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,602 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$4,774 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$11,848 Vol.
100%
29℃
$11,390 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$6,228 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,873 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,755 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,669 Vol.
<1%
34℃以上
$1,943 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 28°C high in Beijing on September 12 reflects official surface observations and model consensus showing peak temperatures reached under clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity around 30% during afternoon hours. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 27.1°C for the date, driven by typical post-monsoon subsidence and minimal cloud cover that allowed efficient daytime heating without exceeding seasonal norms. Nearby station data and GFS/ECMWF guidance converged on this narrow range well before evening, leaving little room for upward revision. Only an unforeseen measurement discrepancy or localized urban heat island spike could shift the recorded maximum, though such adjustments remain statistically rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$46,826終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 28°C high in Beijing on September 12 reflects official surface observations and model consensus showing peak temperatures reached under clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity around 30% during afternoon hours. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 27.1°C for the date, driven by typical post-monsoon subsidence and minimal cloud cover that allowed efficient daytime heating without exceeding seasonal norms. Nearby station data and GFS/ECMWF guidance converged on this narrow range well before evening, leaving little room for upward revision. Only an unforeseen measurement discrepancy or localized urban heat island spike could shift the recorded maximum, though such adjustments remain statistically rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$46,826終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTrader consensus at 100% for a 28°C high in Beijing on September 12 reflects official surface observations and model consensus showing peak temperatures reached under clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity around 30% during afternoon hours. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 27.1°C for the date, driven by typical post-monsoon subsidence and minimal cloud cover that allowed efficient daytime heating without exceeding seasonal norms. Nearby station data and GFS/ECMWF guidance converged on this narrow range well before evening, leaving little room for upward revision. Only an unforeseen measurement discrepancy or localized urban heat island spike could shift the recorded maximum, though such adjustments remain statistically rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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