**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum near 12°C in Buenos Aires on September 12, 2026, driven by persistent southerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and stable high pressure that limit daytime heating.** Official guidance shows temperatures peaking in the 10–13°C range amid light drizzle potential and dew points near 4–6°C, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region. This strong model consensus and observed conditions underpin the market’s 96.5% implied probability on exactly 12°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that allows additional solar warming or localized measurement differences at the official station, though current data and short time remaining to resolution make significant deviations unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
12℃ 98%
13℃ 3%
14℃ <1%
15℃ <1%
$30,380 Vol.
$30,380 Vol.
8℃以下
<1%
9℃
<1%
10℃
<1%
11°C
<1%
12℃
98%
13℃
3%
14℃
1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃以上
<1%
12℃ 98%
13℃ 3%
14℃ <1%
15℃ <1%
$30,380 Vol.
$30,380 Vol.
8℃以下
<1%
9℃
<1%
10℃
<1%
11°C
<1%
12℃
98%
13℃
3%
14℃
1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum near 12°C in Buenos Aires on September 12, 2026, driven by persistent southerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and stable high pressure that limit daytime heating.** Official guidance shows temperatures peaking in the 10–13°C range amid light drizzle potential and dew points near 4–6°C, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region. This strong model consensus and observed conditions underpin the market’s 96.5% implied probability on exactly 12°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that allows additional solar warming or localized measurement differences at the official station, though current data and short time remaining to resolution make significant deviations unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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