A strong cold air mass and high-pressure system have driven overnight temperatures in Buenos Aires sharply lower, with official station readings and model consensus from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirming a minimum at or below -1 °C. Dew points near or below freezing, calm winds, and clear skies under the ridge have enabled efficient radiative cooling, consistent with September climatology for polar outbreaks but at the colder end of the distribution. Market-implied odds near 100 % for -1 °C or below reflect this verified trajectory and the limited remaining hours before the daily minimum is locked in. Only an unexpected warming surge or measurement revision could alter resolution, though current observations leave little scope for such shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のブエノスアイレスの最低気温は?
-1°C以下 100.0%
0℃ <1%
1℃ <1%
2℃ <1%
-1°C以下
100%
0℃
<1%
1℃
<1%
2℃
<1%
3℃
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6℃
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C以上
<1%
-1°C以下 100.0%
0℃ <1%
1℃ <1%
2℃ <1%
-1°C以下
100%
0℃
<1%
1℃
<1%
2℃
<1%
3℃
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6℃
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
A strong cold air mass and high-pressure system have driven overnight temperatures in Buenos Aires sharply lower, with official station readings and model consensus from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirming a minimum at or below -1 °C. Dew points near or below freezing, calm winds, and clear skies under the ridge have enabled efficient radiative cooling, consistent with September climatology for polar outbreaks but at the colder end of the distribution. Market-implied odds near 100 % for -1 °C or below reflect this verified trajectory and the limited remaining hours before the daily minimum is locked in. Only an unexpected warming surge or measurement revision could alter resolution, though current observations leave little scope for such shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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