Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a modest warming trend for Buenos Aires on September 14, with daily highs centered around 14–16 °C under mostly sunny conditions and light northerly winds. Southerly flow and high pressure have kept recent days cooler, with highs near 10–12 °C, but a shift in steering patterns is expected to allow slightly warmer air advection ahead of the target date. Ensemble spread remains modest because spring transitional conditions and variable cloud cover introduce small uncertainties in maximum temperature, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 15–17 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will refine the exact peak as the period approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
16℃ 43%
17℃ 33%
15℃ 15%
14℃ 10%
10°C以下
1%
11°C
2%
12℃
3%
13℃
4%
14℃
10%
15℃
15%
16℃
26%
17℃
32%
18℃
9%
19℃
9%
20°C以上
4%
16℃ 43%
17℃ 33%
15℃ 15%
14℃ 10%
10°C以下
1%
11°C
2%
12℃
3%
13℃
4%
14℃
10%
15℃
15%
16℃
26%
17℃
32%
18℃
9%
19℃
9%
20°C以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a modest warming trend for Buenos Aires on September 14, with daily highs centered around 14–16 °C under mostly sunny conditions and light northerly winds. Southerly flow and high pressure have kept recent days cooler, with highs near 10–12 °C, but a shift in steering patterns is expected to allow slightly warmer air advection ahead of the target date. Ensemble spread remains modest because spring transitional conditions and variable cloud cover introduce small uncertainties in maximum temperature, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 15–17 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will refine the exact peak as the period approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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