Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum near 30–31°C for Shenzhen on September 13, with scattered thunderstorms and moderate easterly flow expected to limit afternoon heating. Cloud cover and precipitation chances of 60–80% in several runs introduce uncertainty, as heavier rain could suppress the peak while clearer intervals allow brief warming toward 32°C. This range aligns with September climatology, where average highs reach about 31°C amid transitional monsoon conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C because ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with new model updates and real-time observations the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日の深センの最高気温は？
9月13日の深センの最高気温は？
31℃ 29%
30°C 23%
32°C 19%
33℃ 12%
新規
$10,748 Vol.
新規
$10,748 Vol.
2026/09/13
26℃以下
1%
27°C
3%
28℃
6%
29℃
7%
30°C
23%
31℃
29%
32°C
19%
33℃
12%
34℃
2%
35℃
<1%
36℃以上
<1%
31℃ 29%
30°C 23%
32°C 19%
33℃ 12%
新規
$10,748 Vol.
新規
$10,748 Vol.
2026/09/13
26℃以下
$862 Vol.
1%
27°C
$504 Vol.
3%
28℃
$335 Vol.
6%
29℃
$2,795 Vol.
7%
30°C
$3,759 Vol.
23%
31℃
$402 Vol.
29%
32°C
$601 Vol.
19%
33℃
$736 Vol.
12%
34℃
$208 Vol.
2%
35℃
$330 Vol.
<1%
36℃以上
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum near 30–31°C for Shenzhen on September 13, with scattered thunderstorms and moderate easterly flow expected to limit afternoon heating. Cloud cover and precipitation chances of 60–80% in several runs introduce uncertainty, as heavier rain could suppress the peak while clearer intervals allow brief warming toward 32°C. This range aligns with September climatology, where average highs reach about 31°C amid transitional monsoon conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C because ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with new model updates and real-time observations the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$10,748終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum near 30–31°C for Shenzhen on September 13, with scattered thunderstorms and moderate easterly flow expected to limit afternoon heating. Cloud cover and precipitation chances of 60–80% in several runs introduce uncertainty, as heavier rain could suppress the peak while clearer intervals allow brief warming toward 32°C. This range aligns with September climatology, where average highs reach about 31°C amid transitional monsoon conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C because ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with new model updates and real-time observations the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10,748終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum near 30–31°C for Shenzhen on September 13, with scattered thunderstorms and moderate easterly flow expected to limit afternoon heating. Cloud cover and precipitation chances of 60–80% in several runs introduce uncertainty, as heavier rain could suppress the peak while clearer intervals allow brief warming toward 32°C. This range aligns with September climatology, where average highs reach about 31°C amid transitional monsoon conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C because ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, with new model updates and real-time observations the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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