The near-certainty around a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 11 reflects official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that peak reading under partly cloudy conditions and northeast monsoon flow. This outcome aligns with September climatology, where average highs hover near 31°C amid warm sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea, though slightly moderated from August's elevated means. Traders priced in the result once preliminary station data and model consensus converged on no exceedance of 33°C or drop below 32°C, with minimal uncertainty from cloud cover or wind variability. Resolution now hinges solely on final verified records rather than forecasts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日の香港の最高気温は?
32°C 99.8%
31℃ <1%
26°C以下 <1%
27℃ <1%
$111,237 Vol.
$111,237 Vol.
26°C以下
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35℃
<1%
36℃以上
<1%
32°C 99.8%
31℃ <1%
26°C以下 <1%
27℃ <1%
$111,237 Vol.
$111,237 Vol.
26°C以下
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35℃
<1%
36℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The near-certainty around a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 11 reflects official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that peak reading under partly cloudy conditions and northeast monsoon flow. This outcome aligns with September climatology, where average highs hover near 31°C amid warm sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea, though slightly moderated from August's elevated means. Traders priced in the result once preliminary station data and model consensus converged on no exceedance of 33°C or drop below 32°C, with minimal uncertainty from cloud cover or wind variability. Resolution now hinges solely on final verified records rather than forecasts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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