Trader sentiment for the lowest NYC temperature on September 14 reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty, with closely matched probabilities across bins centered near the historical average low of 62°F. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and wind patterns ahead of a potential frontal system, which could limit radiational cooling under clear skies or promote mixing that sustains milder overnight readings in the mid-60s. NOAA and NWS guidance highlight model divergence on exact timing of any clearing or breeze, while the urban heat island effect in Manhattan may moderate extremes compared to surrounding areas. Recent shifts in ensemble runs underscore how even modest changes in humidity or steering winds can tip outcomes between the leading 64–67°F ranges and cooler or warmer tails.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
9月14日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
76°F以上 43%
57°F以下 42%
66〜67°F 32%
58～59°F 29%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
57°F以下
42%
58～59°F
29%
60〜61°F
29%
62～63°F
25%
64〜65°F
26%
66〜67°F
32%
68〜69°F
19%
70～71°F
29%
72～73°F
29%
華氏74〜75度
29%
76°F以上
43%
76°F以上 43%
57°F以下 42%
66〜67°F 32%
58～59°F 29%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
57°F以下
$0 Vol.
42%
58～59°F
$0 Vol.
29%
60〜61°F
$0 Vol.
29%
62～63°F
$0 Vol.
25%
64〜65°F
$0 Vol.
26%
66〜67°F
$0 Vol.
32%
68〜69°F
$0 Vol.
19%
70～71°F
$0 Vol.
29%
72～73°F
$0 Vol.
29%
華氏74〜75度
$0 Vol.
29%
76°F以上
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the lowest NYC temperature on September 14 reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty, with closely matched probabilities across bins centered near the historical average low of 62°F. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and wind patterns ahead of a potential frontal system, which could limit radiational cooling under clear skies or promote mixing that sustains milder overnight readings in the mid-60s. NOAA and NWS guidance highlight model divergence on exact timing of any clearing or breeze, while the urban heat island effect in Manhattan may moderate extremes compared to surrounding areas. Recent shifts in ensemble runs underscore how even modest changes in humidity or steering winds can tip outcomes between the leading 64–67°F ranges and cooler or warmer tails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the lowest NYC temperature on September 14 reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty, with closely matched probabilities across bins centered near the historical average low of 62°F. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and wind patterns ahead of a potential frontal system, which could limit radiational cooling under clear skies or promote mixing that sustains milder overnight readings in the mid-60s. NOAA and NWS guidance highlight model divergence on exact timing of any clearing or breeze, while the urban heat island effect in Manhattan may moderate extremes compared to surrounding areas. Recent shifts in ensemble runs underscore how even modest changes in humidity or steering winds can tip outcomes between the leading 64–67°F ranges and cooler or warmer tails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETTrader sentiment for the lowest NYC temperature on September 14 reflects substantial short-term forecast uncertainty, with closely matched probabilities across bins centered near the historical average low of 62°F. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and wind patterns ahead of a potential frontal system, which could limit radiational cooling under clear skies or promote mixing that sustains milder overnight readings in the mid-60s. NOAA and NWS guidance highlight model divergence on exact timing of any clearing or breeze, while the urban heat island effect in Manhattan may moderate extremes compared to surrounding areas. Recent shifts in ensemble runs underscore how even modest changes in humidity or steering winds can tip outcomes between the leading 64–67°F ranges and cooler or warmer tails.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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