Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a mild overnight period for New York City on September 13, with forecast lows clustered between 68–73 °F amid light southerly flow, high humidity, and periods of rain that limit radiational cooling. This above-normal range—relative to the 1991–2020 September 13 average low of 62.6 °F—reflects persistent warm advection and cloud cover that suppress temperature drops. Traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities across the 70–77 °F bins because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer mixing can alter the exact minimum by a degree or two. Updated model runs from NOAA and short-range guidance expected later today will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
9月13日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
68～69°F 39%
76〜77°F 33%
72〜73°F 26%
華氏74〜75度 26%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
華氏63度以下
17%
64～65°F
18%
66～67°F
20%
68～69°F
39%
70〜71°F
20%
72〜73°F
26%
華氏74〜75度
26%
76〜77°F
33%
78～79°F
18%
80～81°F
18%
華氏82度以上
22%
68～69°F 39%
76〜77°F 33%
72〜73°F 26%
華氏74〜75度 26%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
華氏63度以下
$0 Vol.
17%
64～65°F
$0 Vol.
18%
66～67°F
$0 Vol.
20%
68～69°F
$0 Vol.
39%
70〜71°F
$0 Vol.
20%
72〜73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
華氏74〜75度
$0 Vol.
26%
76〜77°F
$0 Vol.
33%
78～79°F
$0 Vol.
18%
80～81°F
$0 Vol.
18%
華氏82度以上
$0 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a mild overnight period for New York City on September 13, with forecast lows clustered between 68–73 °F amid light southerly flow, high humidity, and periods of rain that limit radiational cooling. This above-normal range—relative to the 1991–2020 September 13 average low of 62.6 °F—reflects persistent warm advection and cloud cover that suppress temperature drops. Traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities across the 70–77 °F bins because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer mixing can alter the exact minimum by a degree or two. Updated model runs from NOAA and short-range guidance expected later today will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a mild overnight period for New York City on September 13, with forecast lows clustered between 68–73 °F amid light southerly flow, high humidity, and periods of rain that limit radiational cooling. This above-normal range—relative to the 1991–2020 September 13 average low of 62.6 °F—reflects persistent warm advection and cloud cover that suppress temperature drops. Traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities across the 70–77 °F bins because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer mixing can alter the exact minimum by a degree or two. Updated model runs from NOAA and short-range guidance expected later today will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a mild overnight period for New York City on September 13, with forecast lows clustered between 68–73 °F amid light southerly flow, high humidity, and periods of rain that limit radiational cooling. This above-normal range—relative to the 1991–2020 September 13 average low of 62.6 °F—reflects persistent warm advection and cloud cover that suppress temperature drops. Traders assign roughly equal implied probabilities across the 70–77 °F bins because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer mixing can alter the exact minimum by a degree or two. Updated model runs from NOAA and short-range guidance expected later today will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問