Recent high-pressure systems advancing from northern China have driven cooler, drier air across the Korean Peninsula, moderating late-summer warmth and positioning Incheon’s September 11 maximum near 26°C according to KMA and ensemble guidance. Light northwesterly winds, limited cloud cover, and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius support modest daytime heating without significant moisture or instability. Model runs show tight clustering between 24–27°C, with 26°C emerging as the mode; any northward shift in the ridge or delayed clearing could nudge the peak higher. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 25–26°C mirrors this consensus, while lower probabilities for 27°C+ reflect the narrow uncertainty range typical two days before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のソウル(仁川)の最高気温は?
26°C 43%
25℃ 20%
27℃ 16%
24℃ 7%
20℃以下
<1%
21℃
1%
22℃
2%
23℃
5%
24℃
7%
25℃
23%
26°C
43%
27℃
16%
28℃
7%
29℃
5%
30℃以上
2%
26°C 43%
25℃ 20%
27℃ 16%
24℃ 7%
20℃以下
<1%
21℃
1%
22℃
2%
23℃
5%
24℃
7%
25℃
23%
26°C
43%
27℃
16%
28℃
7%
29℃
5%
30℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent high-pressure systems advancing from northern China have driven cooler, drier air across the Korean Peninsula, moderating late-summer warmth and positioning Incheon’s September 11 maximum near 26°C according to KMA and ensemble guidance. Light northwesterly winds, limited cloud cover, and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius support modest daytime heating without significant moisture or instability. Model runs show tight clustering between 24–27°C, with 26°C emerging as the mode; any northward shift in the ridge or delayed clearing could nudge the peak higher. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 25–26°C mirrors this consensus, while lower probabilities for 27°C+ reflect the narrow uncertainty range typical two days before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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