Recent global model runs for Qingdao on September 11 point to a daily minimum in the 17–20°C range under partly cloudy skies and a wind shift from northerly to southerly flow at 3–4 m/s. Ensemble spreads remain notable, with some members favoring stronger onshore cooling and others warmer advection, producing the near-even 49% market-implied odds on sub-12°C versus 22°C-plus outcomes. Historical September minima average near 18°C, and the short two-day lead time limits further sharpening until updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration arrive. Traders appear to weigh these model divergences against typical late-summer variability rather than any single extreme signal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日の青島の最低気温は？
9月11日の青島の最低気温は？
22℃以上 94%
12℃以下 88%
16℃ 39%
17℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
12℃以下
88%
13℃
27%
14℃
22%
15℃
20%
16℃
39%
17℃
39%
18℃
39%
19°C
39%
20℃
39%
21℃
39%
22℃以上
94%
22℃以上 94%
12℃以下 88%
16℃ 39%
17℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
12℃以下
$0 Vol.
88%
13℃
$0 Vol.
27%
14℃
$0 Vol.
22%
15℃
$0 Vol.
20%
16℃
$0 Vol.
39%
17℃
$0 Vol.
39%
18℃
$0 Vol.
39%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20℃
$0 Vol.
39%
21℃
$0 Vol.
39%
22℃以上
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global model runs for Qingdao on September 11 point to a daily minimum in the 17–20°C range under partly cloudy skies and a wind shift from northerly to southerly flow at 3–4 m/s. Ensemble spreads remain notable, with some members favoring stronger onshore cooling and others warmer advection, producing the near-even 49% market-implied odds on sub-12°C versus 22°C-plus outcomes. Historical September minima average near 18°C, and the short two-day lead time limits further sharpening until updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration arrive. Traders appear to weigh these model divergences against typical late-summer variability rather than any single extreme signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global model runs for Qingdao on September 11 point to a daily minimum in the 17–20°C range under partly cloudy skies and a wind shift from northerly to southerly flow at 3–4 m/s. Ensemble spreads remain notable, with some members favoring stronger onshore cooling and others warmer advection, producing the near-even 49% market-implied odds on sub-12°C versus 22°C-plus outcomes. Historical September minima average near 18°C, and the short two-day lead time limits further sharpening until updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration arrive. Traders appear to weigh these model divergences against typical late-summer variability rather than any single extreme signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent global model runs for Qingdao on September 11 point to a daily minimum in the 17–20°C range under partly cloudy skies and a wind shift from northerly to southerly flow at 3–4 m/s. Ensemble spreads remain notable, with some members favoring stronger onshore cooling and others warmer advection, producing the near-even 49% market-implied odds on sub-12°C versus 22°C-plus outcomes. Historical September minima average near 18°C, and the short two-day lead time limits further sharpening until updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration arrive. Traders appear to weigh these model divergences against typical late-summer variability rather than any single extreme signal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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