Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on September 9 indicate a daily high near 28–29°C, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air masses and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating. Multiple model runs and agency guidance converge on this range, consistent with early-September climatology where typical maxima fall between 27–30°C amid transitional post-monsoon conditions. These atmospheric factors underpin the market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning the strongest weight to 28°C and 29°C outcomes. Minor uncertainties remain around exact cloud timing or localized urban heat effects, but no significant warming signals appear in current data, keeping lower or higher extremes at minimal implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日の上海の最高気温は？
9月9日の上海の最高気温は？
28℃ 54%
29°C 38%
27℃ 5%
30℃ 4%
新規
$13,775 Vol.
新規
$13,775 Vol.
2026/09/09
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
1%
27℃
5%
28℃
54%
29°C
38%
30℃
4%
31℃
1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
28℃ 54%
29°C 38%
27℃ 5%
30℃ 4%
新規
$13,775 Vol.
新規
$13,775 Vol.
2026/09/09
24℃以下
$250 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$521 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$1,145 Vol.
1%
27℃
$2,754 Vol.
5%
28℃
$3,365 Vol.
54%
29°C
$2,221 Vol.
38%
30℃
$982 Vol.
4%
31℃
$1,161 Vol.
1%
32℃
$531 Vol.
<1%
33℃
$535 Vol.
<1%
34℃以上
$331 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on September 9 indicate a daily high near 28–29°C, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air masses and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating. Multiple model runs and agency guidance converge on this range, consistent with early-September climatology where typical maxima fall between 27–30°C amid transitional post-monsoon conditions. These atmospheric factors underpin the market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning the strongest weight to 28°C and 29°C outcomes. Minor uncertainties remain around exact cloud timing or localized urban heat effects, but no significant warming signals appear in current data, keeping lower or higher extremes at minimal implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$13,775終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on September 9 indicate a daily high near 28–29°C, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air masses and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating. Multiple model runs and agency guidance converge on this range, consistent with early-September climatology where typical maxima fall between 27–30°C amid transitional post-monsoon conditions. These atmospheric factors underpin the market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning the strongest weight to 28°C and 29°C outcomes. Minor uncertainties remain around exact cloud timing or localized urban heat effects, but no significant warming signals appear in current data, keeping lower or higher extremes at minimal implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$13,775終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on September 9 indicate a daily high near 28–29°C, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air masses and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating. Multiple model runs and agency guidance converge on this range, consistent with early-September climatology where typical maxima fall between 27–30°C amid transitional post-monsoon conditions. These atmospheric factors underpin the market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning the strongest weight to 28°C and 29°C outcomes. Minor uncertainties remain around exact cloud timing or localized urban heat effects, but no significant warming signals appear in current data, keeping lower or higher extremes at minimal implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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