Current forecasts from AEMET and numerical models indicate Madrid's September 10 high will likely reach 27–28°C under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1017–1018 hPa, with afternoon humidity dropping below 20%. This aligns with trader emphasis on those outcomes, reflecting the transition from an earlier September heatwave that produced daily maxima above 35°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread around peak values, as dry continental air and limited cloud cover reduce uncertainty in daytime heating rates. Official observations through midday confirm temperatures climbing steadily toward the expected range, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon maximum reported by AEMET.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のマドリードの最高気温は?
27℃ 50%
28℃ 38%
26℃ 5.7%
29℃ 1.7%
$27,123 Vol.
$27,123 Vol.
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
1%
26℃
6%
27℃
56%
28℃
38%
29℃
2%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
27℃ 50%
28℃ 38%
26℃ 5.7%
29℃ 1.7%
$27,123 Vol.
$27,123 Vol.
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
1%
26℃
6%
27℃
56%
28℃
38%
29℃
2%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from AEMET and numerical models indicate Madrid's September 10 high will likely reach 27–28°C under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1017–1018 hPa, with afternoon humidity dropping below 20%. This aligns with trader emphasis on those outcomes, reflecting the transition from an earlier September heatwave that produced daily maxima above 35°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread around peak values, as dry continental air and limited cloud cover reduce uncertainty in daytime heating rates. Official observations through midday confirm temperatures climbing steadily toward the expected range, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon maximum reported by AEMET.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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