**A cold air advection event driven by strong southerly winds and a polar air mass shaped trader views on Buenos Aires’ September 12 minimum.** Pre-event forecasts from Argentine meteorological sources projected an overnight low near 4°C under persistent cloud cover, with winds averaging 27 km/h that enhanced sensible cooling and reduced the chance of strong radiational drops. Official model consensus and historical September climatology (typical overnight lows 8–12°C) supported a narrow 4–6°C range, producing the tight market split between 6°C (51%), 5°C (49%), and 4°C-or-below (50%). Post-frontal clearing on the 13th and observed readings near 5°C (41°F) at representative stations further validated the narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the precise official minimum recorded at the primary synoptic site.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のブエノスアイレスの最低気温は?
6℃ 99.5%
5℃ 1.0%
4℃以下 <1%
7℃ <1%
$938 Vol.
$938 Vol.
4℃以下
いいえ
5℃
いいえ
6℃
はい
7℃
いいえ
8°C
いいえ
9°C
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12°C
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14°C以上
いいえ
6℃ 99.5%
5℃ 1.0%
4℃以下 <1%
7℃ <1%
$938 Vol.
$938 Vol.
4℃以下
いいえ
5℃
いいえ
6℃
はい
7℃
いいえ
8°C
いいえ
9°C
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12°C
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**A cold air advection event driven by strong southerly winds and a polar air mass shaped trader views on Buenos Aires’ September 12 minimum.** Pre-event forecasts from Argentine meteorological sources projected an overnight low near 4°C under persistent cloud cover, with winds averaging 27 km/h that enhanced sensible cooling and reduced the chance of strong radiational drops. Official model consensus and historical September climatology (typical overnight lows 8–12°C) supported a narrow 4–6°C range, producing the tight market split between 6°C (51%), 5°C (49%), and 4°C-or-below (50%). Post-frontal clearing on the 13th and observed readings near 5°C (41°F) at representative stations further validated the narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the precise official minimum recorded at the primary synoptic site.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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