Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models positions 26°C as the most probable daily maximum for Incheon on September 14, aligning with market-implied odds near 52%. Stable high pressure over the Korean Peninsula, combined with northwest winds and limited cloud cover, supports modest daytime heating consistent with September climatology of roughly 26°C average highs. Partly cloudy conditions and dry air masses reduce the likelihood of significant deviation, though minor model spread around afternoon peaks introduces uncertainty between 25–27°C. Official Korea Meteorological Administration updates and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のソウル(仁川)の最高気温は?
26℃ 47%
27℃ 27%
25℃ 20%
28℃ 6%
20℃以下
1%
21℃
1%
22℃
2%
23°C
5%
24℃
5%
25℃
20%
26℃
47%
27℃
27%
28℃
6%
29℃
5%
30℃以上
2%
26℃ 47%
27℃ 27%
25℃ 20%
28℃ 6%
20℃以下
1%
21℃
1%
22℃
2%
23°C
5%
24℃
5%
25℃
20%
26℃
47%
27℃
27%
28℃
6%
29℃
5%
30℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models positions 26°C as the most probable daily maximum for Incheon on September 14, aligning with market-implied odds near 52%. Stable high pressure over the Korean Peninsula, combined with northwest winds and limited cloud cover, supports modest daytime heating consistent with September climatology of roughly 26°C average highs. Partly cloudy conditions and dry air masses reduce the likelihood of significant deviation, though minor model spread around afternoon peaks introduces uncertainty between 25–27°C. Official Korea Meteorological Administration updates and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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