Current observational data from meteorological monitoring stations in Chengdu indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C on September 12, 2026, under persistent cloudy skies, light rain, and high humidity that have limited daytime warming in the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Multiple forecast models and real-time reports converge on afternoon highs near this level, consistent with mid-September climatology where average maxima hover around 25°C but recent precipitation and northeasterly flow have suppressed the diurnal range. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 22°C reflects this strong alignment of surface observations with official thresholds. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to late-day measurement revisions at the primary reporting station or localized microclimate variations exceeding the recorded peak by 1°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の成都の最高気温は？
9月12日の成都の最高気温は？
22°C 100.0%
20℃以下 <1%
21℃ <1%
23°C <1%
$52,254 Vol.
$52,254 Vol.
2026/09/12
20℃以下
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
22°C 100.0%
20℃以下 <1%
21℃ <1%
23°C <1%
$52,254 Vol.
$52,254 Vol.
2026/09/12
20℃以下
$1,544 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$3,277 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$9,648 Vol.
100%
23°C
$14,710 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$7,100 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$7,650 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$5,140 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$813 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$689 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$838 Vol.
<1%
30℃以上
$845 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from meteorological monitoring stations in Chengdu indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C on September 12, 2026, under persistent cloudy skies, light rain, and high humidity that have limited daytime warming in the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Multiple forecast models and real-time reports converge on afternoon highs near this level, consistent with mid-September climatology where average maxima hover around 25°C but recent precipitation and northeasterly flow have suppressed the diurnal range. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 22°C reflects this strong alignment of surface observations with official thresholds. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to late-day measurement revisions at the primary reporting station or localized microclimate variations exceeding the recorded peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$52,254終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from meteorological monitoring stations in Chengdu indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C on September 12, 2026, under persistent cloudy skies, light rain, and high humidity that have limited daytime warming in the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Multiple forecast models and real-time reports converge on afternoon highs near this level, consistent with mid-September climatology where average maxima hover around 25°C but recent precipitation and northeasterly flow have suppressed the diurnal range. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 22°C reflects this strong alignment of surface observations with official thresholds. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to late-day measurement revisions at the primary reporting station or localized microclimate variations exceeding the recorded peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$52,254終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent observational data from meteorological monitoring stations in Chengdu indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C on September 12, 2026, under persistent cloudy skies, light rain, and high humidity that have limited daytime warming in the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Multiple forecast models and real-time reports converge on afternoon highs near this level, consistent with mid-September climatology where average maxima hover around 25°C but recent precipitation and northeasterly flow have suppressed the diurnal range. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 22°C reflects this strong alignment of surface observations with official thresholds. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to late-day measurement revisions at the primary reporting station or localized microclimate variations exceeding the recorded peak by 1°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問