The Met Office forecast of a 21°C maximum for London on September 10 under mostly cloudy skies with rain arriving later drives the 50.5% implied probability for that outcome, followed closely by 20°C at 35.5%. Persistent cloud cover and increasing southwesterly winds are expected to limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week, while model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and European centers shows little support for peaks reaching 22°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 24 hours likely to refine the peak temperature before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のロンドンの最高気温は？
9月10日のロンドンの最高気温は？
21℃ 51%
20℃ 36%
22℃ 10%
19°C 5%
新規
$19,461 Vol.
新規
$19,461 Vol.
2026/09/10
16°C以下
<1%
17℃
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20℃
36%
21℃
51%
22℃
10%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃以上
<1%
21℃ 51%
20℃ 36%
22℃ 10%
19°C 5%
新規
$19,461 Vol.
新規
$19,461 Vol.
2026/09/10
16°C以下
$684 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$458 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$903 Vol.
2%
19°C
$3,033 Vol.
5%
20℃
$3,036 Vol.
36%
21℃
$5,848 Vol.
51%
22℃
$2,484 Vol.
10%
23℃
$1,411 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$726 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$310 Vol.
<1%
26℃以上
$569 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Met Office forecast of a 21°C maximum for London on September 10 under mostly cloudy skies with rain arriving later drives the 50.5% implied probability for that outcome, followed closely by 20°C at 35.5%. Persistent cloud cover and increasing southwesterly winds are expected to limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week, while model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and European centers shows little support for peaks reaching 22°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 24 hours likely to refine the peak temperature before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$19,461終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Met Office forecast of a 21°C maximum for London on September 10 under mostly cloudy skies with rain arriving later drives the 50.5% implied probability for that outcome, followed closely by 20°C at 35.5%. Persistent cloud cover and increasing southwesterly winds are expected to limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week, while model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and European centers shows little support for peaks reaching 22°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 24 hours likely to refine the peak temperature before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$19,461終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThe Met Office forecast of a 21°C maximum for London on September 10 under mostly cloudy skies with rain arriving later drives the 50.5% implied probability for that outcome, followed closely by 20°C at 35.5%. Persistent cloud cover and increasing southwesterly winds are expected to limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week, while model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and European centers shows little support for peaks reaching 22°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, with fresh model runs and observational updates over the next 24 hours likely to refine the peak temperature before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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