**Current NWS forecasts and an active extreme heat warning point to a hot September 9 in Los Angeles, with downtown highs projected near 101°F and inland areas reaching the mid to upper 90s under sunny skies and light winds.** Coastal and airport sites like LAX are expected to stay cooler, in the upper 80s to low 90s, due to marine influence. This location-specific variation, combined with model spread on peak heating and any late-day marine layer development, drives the market's broad distribution favoring 92–96°F outcomes while assigning meaningful probability to 96°F+. Historical September maxima average in the mid-70s, so the current ridge and offshore flow represent a clear positive anomaly, though traders weigh the risk of slight underperformance if clouds or stronger sea breezes materialize before peak afternoon temperatures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は?
96°F以上 36%
92〜93°F 22%
94〜95°F 18%
88~89°F 11%
$31,790 Vol.
$31,790 Vol.
77°F以下
<1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
1%
84~85°F
3%
86~87°F
5%
88~89°F
11%
90~91°F
6%
92〜93°F
22%
94〜95°F
18%
96°F以上
36%
96°F以上 36%
92〜93°F 22%
94〜95°F 18%
88~89°F 11%
$31,790 Vol.
$31,790 Vol.
77°F以下
<1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
1%
84~85°F
3%
86~87°F
5%
88~89°F
11%
90~91°F
6%
92〜93°F
22%
94〜95°F
18%
96°F以上
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current NWS forecasts and an active extreme heat warning point to a hot September 9 in Los Angeles, with downtown highs projected near 101°F and inland areas reaching the mid to upper 90s under sunny skies and light winds.** Coastal and airport sites like LAX are expected to stay cooler, in the upper 80s to low 90s, due to marine influence. This location-specific variation, combined with model spread on peak heating and any late-day marine layer development, drives the market's broad distribution favoring 92–96°F outcomes while assigning meaningful probability to 96°F+. Historical September maxima average in the mid-70s, so the current ridge and offshore flow represent a clear positive anomaly, though traders weigh the risk of slight underperformance if clouds or stronger sea breezes materialize before peak afternoon temperatures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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