Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Chicago on September 11 centers on the 78–81°F range due to ensemble model guidance projecting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow behind a weak frontal passage. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF indicate modest daytime heating under high pressure, with surface temperatures supported by dew points in the mid-50s and minimal cloud cover after morning clearing. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on boundary-layer mixing depth, potential lake-breeze moderation from Lake Michigan, and slight variations in 850-hPa temperatures across model members. Official National Weather Service guidance currently favors a high near 76°F, while private-sector blends trend a few degrees warmer; the next model cycle and afternoon update will likely resolve the narrow spread before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のシカゴの最高気温は？
9月11日のシカゴの最高気温は？
80〜81°F 48%
78〜79°F 41%
82～83°F 8%
76～77°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
71°F以下
<1%
72～73°F
1%
74～75°F
2%
76～77°F
6%
78〜79°F
41%
80〜81°F
48%
82～83°F
8%
84～85°F
5%
86～87°F
2%
88～89°F
2%
90°F以上
<1%
80〜81°F 48%
78〜79°F 41%
82～83°F 8%
76～77°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
71°F以下
$252 Vol.
<1%
72～73°F
$92 Vol.
1%
74～75°F
$146 Vol.
2%
76～77°F
$252 Vol.
6%
78〜79°F
$407 Vol.
41%
80〜81°F
$603 Vol.
48%
82～83°F
$267 Vol.
8%
84～85°F
$221 Vol.
5%
86～87°F
$0 Vol.
2%
88～89°F
$0 Vol.
2%
90°F以上
$156 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Chicago on September 11 centers on the 78–81°F range due to ensemble model guidance projecting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow behind a weak frontal passage. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF indicate modest daytime heating under high pressure, with surface temperatures supported by dew points in the mid-50s and minimal cloud cover after morning clearing. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on boundary-layer mixing depth, potential lake-breeze moderation from Lake Michigan, and slight variations in 850-hPa temperatures across model members. Official National Weather Service guidance currently favors a high near 76°F, while private-sector blends trend a few degrees warmer; the next model cycle and afternoon update will likely resolve the narrow spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
音量
$2,398終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Chicago on September 11 centers on the 78–81°F range due to ensemble model guidance projecting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow behind a weak frontal passage. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF indicate modest daytime heating under high pressure, with surface temperatures supported by dew points in the mid-50s and minimal cloud cover after morning clearing. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on boundary-layer mixing depth, potential lake-breeze moderation from Lake Michigan, and slight variations in 850-hPa temperatures across model members. Official National Weather Service guidance currently favors a high near 76°F, while private-sector blends trend a few degrees warmer; the next model cycle and afternoon update will likely resolve the narrow spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,398終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETTrader consensus on the highest temperature in Chicago on September 11 centers on the 78–81°F range due to ensemble model guidance projecting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow behind a weak frontal passage. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF indicate modest daytime heating under high pressure, with surface temperatures supported by dew points in the mid-50s and minimal cloud cover after morning clearing. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on boundary-layer mixing depth, potential lake-breeze moderation from Lake Michigan, and slight variations in 850-hPa temperatures across model members. Official National Weather Service guidance currently favors a high near 76°F, while private-sector blends trend a few degrees warmer; the next model cycle and afternoon update will likely resolve the narrow spread before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問