Recent observational data from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport and nearby Finnish Meteorological Institute stations confirm a daily minimum of 3°C on September 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent northeasterly flow under a high-pressure ridge has allowed clear skies and radiational cooling overnight, dropping temperatures below the seasonal average low of 9.8°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS converged on this value days earlier, with minimal spread in the 0–6°C range. While official resolution relies on verified station readings, minor discrepancies in station selection or rounding protocols remain theoretically possible, though current conditions make significant revision highly improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のヘルシンキの最低気温は?
3℃ 99.8%
2°C以下 <1%
4°C <1%
5℃ <1%
$1,263 Vol.
$1,263 Vol.
2°C以下
<1%
3℃
100%
4°C
<1%
5℃
<1%
6℃
<1%
7℃
<1%
8℃
<1%
9℃
<1%
10℃
<1%
11°C
<1%
12℃以上
<1%
3℃ 99.8%
2°C以下 <1%
4°C <1%
5℃ <1%
$1,263 Vol.
$1,263 Vol.
2°C以下
<1%
3℃
100%
4°C
<1%
5℃
<1%
6℃
<1%
7℃
<1%
8℃
<1%
9℃
<1%
10℃
<1%
11°C
<1%
12℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent observational data from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport and nearby Finnish Meteorological Institute stations confirm a daily minimum of 3°C on September 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent northeasterly flow under a high-pressure ridge has allowed clear skies and radiational cooling overnight, dropping temperatures below the seasonal average low of 9.8°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS converged on this value days earlier, with minimal spread in the 0–6°C range. While official resolution relies on verified station readings, minor discrepancies in station selection or rounding protocols remain theoretically possible, though current conditions make significant revision highly improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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