Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds will likely produce a minimum temperature in Helsinki on September 13 between 8–13 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds—11 °C at 28 %, 12 °C at 25.5 %, and 10 °C at 25 %—captures the genuine uncertainty across model runs regarding exact timing of any partial clearing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology shows an average low near 9.7 °C for the date, while current conditions lack strong cold-air advection that would push probabilities toward single-digit outcomes below 10 %. Updated guidance tonight and early-morning observations will refine the final recorded minimum used for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のヘルシンキの最低気温は?
9°C 40%
14℃ 40%
15℃ 40%
11℃ 28%
6℃以下
1%
7°C
1%
8℃
19%
9°C
40%
10℃
24%
11℃
28%
12°C
25%
13°C
21%
14℃
40%
15℃
40%
16℃以上
1%
9°C 40%
14℃ 40%
15℃ 40%
11℃ 28%
6℃以下
1%
7°C
1%
8℃
19%
9°C
40%
10℃
24%
11℃
28%
12°C
25%
13°C
21%
14℃
40%
15℃
40%
16℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds will likely produce a minimum temperature in Helsinki on September 13 between 8–13 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds—11 °C at 28 %, 12 °C at 25.5 %, and 10 °C at 25 %—captures the genuine uncertainty across model runs regarding exact timing of any partial clearing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology shows an average low near 9.7 °C for the date, while current conditions lack strong cold-air advection that would push probabilities toward single-digit outcomes below 10 %. Updated guidance tonight and early-morning observations will refine the final recorded minimum used for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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