**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a daytime high of 16°C in Helsinki on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability (66.5% for exactly 16°C).** This reflects stable early-autumn conditions with moderate southwesterly flow, limited warm advection, and seasonal norms (historical average high near 15.9°C). Recent model runs show tight clustering around 15–17°C, with light precipitation chances (10–60% in some guidance) unlikely to suppress the maximum. Secondary probabilities for 15°C (23%) and 17°C (8.5%) capture residual uncertainty from timing of any cloud cover or minor wind shifts, while extremes below 14°C or above 18°C remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and absence of blocking highs or cold outbreaks. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble outputs heavily as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のヘルシンキの最高気温は？
9月13日のヘルシンキの最高気温は？
16℃ 67%
15℃ 21%
17℃ 9%
14°C 3%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
11℃以下
<1%
12°C
1%
13℃
2%
14°C
3%
15℃
21%
16℃
67%
17℃
9%
18°C
2%
19℃
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C以上
<1%
16℃ 67%
15℃ 21%
17℃ 9%
14°C 3%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
11℃以下
$85 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$153 Vol.
1%
13℃
$169 Vol.
2%
14°C
$586 Vol.
3%
15℃
$988 Vol.
21%
16℃
$3,339 Vol.
67%
17℃
$609 Vol.
9%
18°C
$288 Vol.
2%
19℃
$189 Vol.
2%
20°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
21°C以上
$153 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a daytime high of 16°C in Helsinki on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability (66.5% for exactly 16°C).** This reflects stable early-autumn conditions with moderate southwesterly flow, limited warm advection, and seasonal norms (historical average high near 15.9°C). Recent model runs show tight clustering around 15–17°C, with light precipitation chances (10–60% in some guidance) unlikely to suppress the maximum. Secondary probabilities for 15°C (23%) and 17°C (8.5%) capture residual uncertainty from timing of any cloud cover or minor wind shifts, while extremes below 14°C or above 18°C remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and absence of blocking highs or cold outbreaks. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble outputs heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$6,749終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a daytime high of 16°C in Helsinki on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability (66.5% for exactly 16°C).** This reflects stable early-autumn conditions with moderate southwesterly flow, limited warm advection, and seasonal norms (historical average high near 15.9°C). Recent model runs show tight clustering around 15–17°C, with light precipitation chances (10–60% in some guidance) unlikely to suppress the maximum. Secondary probabilities for 15°C (23%) and 17°C (8.5%) capture residual uncertainty from timing of any cloud cover or minor wind shifts, while extremes below 14°C or above 18°C remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and absence of blocking highs or cold outbreaks. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble outputs heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,749終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a daytime high of 16°C in Helsinki on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability (66.5% for exactly 16°C).** This reflects stable early-autumn conditions with moderate southwesterly flow, limited warm advection, and seasonal norms (historical average high near 15.9°C). Recent model runs show tight clustering around 15–17°C, with light precipitation chances (10–60% in some guidance) unlikely to suppress the maximum. Secondary probabilities for 15°C (23%) and 17°C (8.5%) capture residual uncertainty from timing of any cloud cover or minor wind shifts, while extremes below 14°C or above 18°C remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and absence of blocking highs or cold outbreaks. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble outputs heavily as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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