Official temperature observations from San Francisco weather stations on September 9, 2026, recorded a daily high of 92-93°F, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service and NOAA data from primary monitoring sites, including those near the airport and downtown, confirmed the peak under clear, stable atmospheric conditions with minimal marine layer influence or onshore flow. This outcome aligns with late-summer heat patterns where daytime warming exceeds typical September averages of 70-75°F. Resolution criteria rely on verified maximum readings rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless station-specific discrepancies or quality-control adjustments emerge—scenarios that remain improbable given consistent multi-site agreement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は?
92〜93°F 100.0%
77°F以下 <1%
78〜79°F <1%
80~81°F <1%
$85,772 Vol.
$85,772 Vol.
77°F以下
いいえ
78〜79°F
いいえ
80~81°F
いいえ
82〜83°F
いいえ
84~85°F
いいえ
86〜87°F
いいえ
88〜89°F
いいえ
90~91°F
いいえ
92〜93°F
はい
94~95°F
いいえ
華氏96度以上
いいえ
92〜93°F 100.0%
77°F以下 <1%
78〜79°F <1%
80~81°F <1%
$85,772 Vol.
$85,772 Vol.
77°F以下
いいえ
78〜79°F
いいえ
80~81°F
いいえ
82〜83°F
いいえ
84~85°F
いいえ
86〜87°F
いいえ
88〜89°F
いいえ
90~91°F
いいえ
92〜93°F
はい
94~95°F
いいえ
華氏96度以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official temperature observations from San Francisco weather stations on September 9, 2026, recorded a daily high of 92-93°F, driving the market's near-certain implied probability for that bin. National Weather Service and NOAA data from primary monitoring sites, including those near the airport and downtown, confirmed the peak under clear, stable atmospheric conditions with minimal marine layer influence or onshore flow. This outcome aligns with late-summer heat patterns where daytime warming exceeds typical September averages of 70-75°F. Resolution criteria rely on verified maximum readings rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless station-specific discrepancies or quality-control adjustments emerge—scenarios that remain improbable given consistent multi-site agreement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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