Current forecast models project a daily high of 32–33°C for Guangzhou on September 10, driven by partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 4–6 m/s, and a 60–70% chance of thunderstorms that limit afternoon heating. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.4°C and recent model runs showing minimal deviation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for 33°C versus 21% for 32°C and 20% for 34°C, incorporates uncertainty around exact convective timing and any late-day clearing that could allow a brief spike. Official China Meteorological Administration observations at the primary station will resolve the market based on the verified maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日の広州の最高気温は？
9月10日の広州の最高気温は？
33℃ 55%
32℃ 21%
34℃ 20%
31℃ 3%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
1%
31℃
3%
32℃
21%
33℃
55%
34℃
20%
35℃
2%
36°C
<1%
37℃以上
<1%
33℃ 55%
32℃ 21%
34℃ 20%
31℃ 3%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
27℃以下
$241 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$460 Vol.
1%
29℃
$141 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$1,144 Vol.
1%
31℃
$289 Vol.
3%
32℃
$563 Vol.
21%
33℃
$898 Vol.
55%
34℃
$1,325 Vol.
20%
35℃
$1,075 Vol.
2%
36°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
37℃以上
$228 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project a daily high of 32–33°C for Guangzhou on September 10, driven by partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 4–6 m/s, and a 60–70% chance of thunderstorms that limit afternoon heating. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.4°C and recent model runs showing minimal deviation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for 33°C versus 21% for 32°C and 20% for 34°C, incorporates uncertainty around exact convective timing and any late-day clearing that could allow a brief spike. Official China Meteorological Administration observations at the primary station will resolve the market based on the verified maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$6,618終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project a daily high of 32–33°C for Guangzhou on September 10, driven by partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 4–6 m/s, and a 60–70% chance of thunderstorms that limit afternoon heating. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.4°C and recent model runs showing minimal deviation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for 33°C versus 21% for 32°C and 20% for 34°C, incorporates uncertainty around exact convective timing and any late-day clearing that could allow a brief spike. Official China Meteorological Administration observations at the primary station will resolve the market based on the verified maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,618終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecast models project a daily high of 32–33°C for Guangzhou on September 10, driven by partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 4–6 m/s, and a 60–70% chance of thunderstorms that limit afternoon heating. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 32.4°C and recent model runs showing minimal deviation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for 33°C versus 21% for 32°C and 20% for 34°C, incorporates uncertainty around exact convective timing and any late-day clearing that could allow a brief spike. Official China Meteorological Administration observations at the primary station will resolve the market based on the verified maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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