Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a daytime peak of 31°C in Tokyo on September 9, driven by residual summer warmth, southerly flow, and limited afternoon cloud cover before rain arrives. This aligns with late-summer climatology where highs often reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates, with observed data from prior days showing similar peaks near 30–32°C under comparable humidity and wind patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects convergence across official guidance and real-time observations, though heavier or earlier precipitation, increased low-level cloud, or a faster northerly shift could cap the maximum below 30°C and shift resolution odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日の東京の最高気温は？
9月9日の東京の最高気温は？
31℃ 100.0%
25℃以下 <1%
26℃ <1%
27℃ <1%
$65,107 Vol.
$65,107 Vol.
2026/09/09
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
100%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
<1%
35°C以上
<1%
31℃ 100.0%
25℃以下 <1%
26℃ <1%
27℃ <1%
$65,107 Vol.
$65,107 Vol.
2026/09/09
25℃以下
$5,573 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$3,234 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$2,274 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$4,599 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$6,573 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$7,507 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$13,701 Vol.
100%
32℃
$10,054 Vol.
<1%
33℃
$6,777 Vol.
<1%
34℃
$2,695 Vol.
<1%
35°C以上
$2,119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a daytime peak of 31°C in Tokyo on September 9, driven by residual summer warmth, southerly flow, and limited afternoon cloud cover before rain arrives. This aligns with late-summer climatology where highs often reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates, with observed data from prior days showing similar peaks near 30–32°C under comparable humidity and wind patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects convergence across official guidance and real-time observations, though heavier or earlier precipitation, increased low-level cloud, or a faster northerly shift could cap the maximum below 30°C and shift resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$65,107終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a daytime peak of 31°C in Tokyo on September 9, driven by residual summer warmth, southerly flow, and limited afternoon cloud cover before rain arrives. This aligns with late-summer climatology where highs often reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates, with observed data from prior days showing similar peaks near 30–32°C under comparable humidity and wind patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects convergence across official guidance and real-time observations, though heavier or earlier precipitation, increased low-level cloud, or a faster northerly shift could cap the maximum below 30°C and shift resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$65,107終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a daytime peak of 31°C in Tokyo on September 9, driven by residual summer warmth, southerly flow, and limited afternoon cloud cover before rain arrives. This aligns with late-summer climatology where highs often reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates, with observed data from prior days showing similar peaks near 30–32°C under comparable humidity and wind patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects convergence across official guidance and real-time observations, though heavier or earlier precipitation, increased low-level cloud, or a faster northerly shift could cap the maximum below 30°C and shift resolution odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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