Real-time observations from Wellington weather stations, including METAR reports showing a peak of 14°C midday under clear to partly cloudy skies with northerly winds, have driven the market's near-certain consensus on that exact high for September 9. Spring climatology in the region typically features variable highs around 13–15°C, and model guidance plus on-site measurements aligned closely without evidence of warmer pockets or measurement revisions. The dominant positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of authoritative data streams, with only narrow uncertainty from potential late-day adjustments or station-specific differences that have not materialized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
14℃ 100.0%
8℃以下 <1%
9℃ <1%
10℃ <1%
$40,866 Vol.
$40,866 Vol.
8℃以下
いいえ
9℃
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14℃
はい
15°C
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18℃以上
いいえ
14℃ 100.0%
8℃以下 <1%
9℃ <1%
10℃ <1%
$40,866 Vol.
$40,866 Vol.
8℃以下
いいえ
9℃
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14℃
はい
15°C
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Real-time observations from Wellington weather stations, including METAR reports showing a peak of 14°C midday under clear to partly cloudy skies with northerly winds, have driven the market's near-certain consensus on that exact high for September 9. Spring climatology in the region typically features variable highs around 13–15°C, and model guidance plus on-site measurements aligned closely without evidence of warmer pockets or measurement revisions. The dominant positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of authoritative data streams, with only narrow uncertainty from potential late-day adjustments or station-specific differences that have not materialized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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