**Trader consensus has coalesced around the 76-77°F bin at 95% implied probability** because official observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport and Love Field recorded a minimum temperature in that exact range on September 12, 2026. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow prevented significant nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 71.5°F. Model guidance issued in the days prior correctly captured the warm anomaly driven by the ongoing late-summer pattern, and post-event verification confirmed no lower readings at standard reporting stations. The slim probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer brackets reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical once surface observations are finalized, with only an unforeseen station-specific microclimate or measurement revision realistically able to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のダラスの最低気温は？
9月12日のダラスの最低気温は？
76～77°F 95%
74～75°F 10%
72〜73°F 8%
71°F以下 5.8%
$35,892 Vol.
$35,892 Vol.
2026/09/12
71°F以下
6%
72〜73°F
8%
74～75°F
10%
76～77°F
95%
78～79°F
<1%
80～81°F
<1%
82～83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86～87°F
<1%
88～89°F
<1%
90°F以上
<1%
76～77°F 95%
74～75°F 10%
72〜73°F 8%
71°F以下 5.8%
$35,892 Vol.
$35,892 Vol.
2026/09/12
71°F以下
$161 Vol.
6%
72〜73°F
$5 Vol.
8%
74～75°F
$25 Vol.
10%
76～77°F
$20 Vol.
95%
78～79°F
$5,086 Vol.
<1%
80～81°F
$5,254 Vol.
<1%
82～83°F
$5,271 Vol.
<1%
84〜85°F
$5,070 Vol.
<1%
86～87°F
$5,000 Vol.
<1%
88～89°F
$5,000 Vol.
<1%
90°F以上
$5,000 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around the 76-77°F bin at 95% implied probability** because official observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport and Love Field recorded a minimum temperature in that exact range on September 12, 2026. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow prevented significant nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 71.5°F. Model guidance issued in the days prior correctly captured the warm anomaly driven by the ongoing late-summer pattern, and post-event verification confirmed no lower readings at standard reporting stations. The slim probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer brackets reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical once surface observations are finalized, with only an unforeseen station-specific microclimate or measurement revision realistically able to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
音量
$35,892終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around the 76-77°F bin at 95% implied probability** because official observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport and Love Field recorded a minimum temperature in that exact range on September 12, 2026. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow prevented significant nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 71.5°F. Model guidance issued in the days prior correctly captured the warm anomaly driven by the ongoing late-summer pattern, and post-event verification confirmed no lower readings at standard reporting stations. The slim probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer brackets reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical once surface observations are finalized, with only an unforeseen station-specific microclimate or measurement revision realistically able to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$35,892終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET**Trader consensus has coalesced around the 76-77°F bin at 95% implied probability** because official observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport and Love Field recorded a minimum temperature in that exact range on September 12, 2026. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow prevented significant nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 71.5°F. Model guidance issued in the days prior correctly captured the warm anomaly driven by the ongoing late-summer pattern, and post-event verification confirmed no lower readings at standard reporting stations. The slim probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer brackets reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical once surface observations are finalized, with only an unforeseen station-specific microclimate or measurement revision realistically able to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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