Recent numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS and supporting European models, show a consensus for an afternoon high of 26–27°C in Paris on September 13 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light west to northwest winds near 10–15 km/h. This stable pattern, with minimal precipitation risk below 10%, has anchored trader sentiment around the 26°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C and 27°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the peak by 1°C. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context for the above-normal warmth currently priced in.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のパリの最高気温は？
9月13日のパリの最高気温は？
26℃ 41%
25℃ 24%
27℃ 24%
24℃ 6%
新規
$10,993 Vol.
新規
$10,993 Vol.
2026/09/13
22℃以下
<1%
23°C
2%
24℃
6%
25℃
24%
26℃
41%
27℃
24%
28℃
6%
29℃
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C以上
<1%
26℃ 41%
25℃ 24%
27℃ 24%
24℃ 6%
新規
$10,993 Vol.
新規
$10,993 Vol.
2026/09/13
22℃以下
$510 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$342 Vol.
2%
24℃
$1,434 Vol.
6%
25℃
$1,651 Vol.
24%
26℃
$1,491 Vol.
41%
27℃
$2,456 Vol.
24%
28℃
$1,424 Vol.
6%
29℃
$272 Vol.
2%
30°C
$156 Vol.
1%
31°C
$434 Vol.
<1%
32°C以上
$823 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS and supporting European models, show a consensus for an afternoon high of 26–27°C in Paris on September 13 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light west to northwest winds near 10–15 km/h. This stable pattern, with minimal precipitation risk below 10%, has anchored trader sentiment around the 26°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C and 27°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the peak by 1°C. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context for the above-normal warmth currently priced in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$10,993終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS and supporting European models, show a consensus for an afternoon high of 26–27°C in Paris on September 13 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light west to northwest winds near 10–15 km/h. This stable pattern, with minimal precipitation risk below 10%, has anchored trader sentiment around the 26°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C and 27°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the peak by 1°C. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context for the above-normal warmth currently priced in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10,993終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS and supporting European models, show a consensus for an afternoon high of 26–27°C in Paris on September 13 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light west to northwest winds near 10–15 km/h. This stable pattern, with minimal precipitation risk below 10%, has anchored trader sentiment around the 26°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C and 27°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the peak by 1°C. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context for the above-normal warmth currently priced in.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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